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Montreal Alouettes v Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Montreal Alouettes (Local)
Prediction 76.00%1.32fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -6.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.89%76.03%76.00%78.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.261.251.2982.64%79.52%79.68%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Visit)
Prediction 24.00%4.17fair odd
EV +5.62%
Edge +1.28%
Kelly +1.65%
Growth +0.093%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.71%23.97%24.00%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.943.904.4027.40%25.40%25.64%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montreal Alouettes (Local): 76.00%; Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Visit): 24.00%. For Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.17. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -7.29%E -5.97%K -33.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +5.62%E +1.28%K +1.65%G +0.093% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -5.77%E -4.65%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV +4.42%E +1.02%K +1.32%G +0.058% | 3.6% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -5.77%E -4.65%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV +4.42%E +1.02%K +1.32%G +0.058% | 3.6% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -5.77%E -4.65%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +4.18%E +0.963%K +1.25%G +0.052% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -5.77%E -4.65%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV +4.18%E +0.963%K +1.25%G +0.052% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.77%E -4.65%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +3.22%E +0.749%K +0.975%G +0.031% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.01%E -4.00%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +0.819%E +0.195%K +0.256%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.77%E -4.65%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.819%E +0.195%K +0.256%G +0.002% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.53%E -5.31%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.819%E +0.195%K +0.256%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 22:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.01%E -4.00%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.58%E -0.386%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.25%E -3.37%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.98%E -0.996%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 22:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.01%E -4.00%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.98%E -0.996%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.01%E -4.00%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.98%E -0.996%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.77%E -4.65%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.98%E -0.996%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.10%EV -5.01%E -4.00%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.90%EV -4.46%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.25%E -3.37%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.18%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:43 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.25%E -3.37%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.38%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.25%E -3.37%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.38%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.29%E -5.97%K -33.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.38%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -1.97%E -1.52%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -7.58%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.97%E -1.52%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -8.78%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.97%E -1.52%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -9.98%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.49%E -2.74%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.98%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.49%E -2.74%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.98%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 22:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.01%E -4.00%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.98%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.73%E -2.13%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.18%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.73%E -2.13%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.18%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 22:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.73%E -2.13%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.18%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.73%E -2.13%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.18%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.73%E -2.13%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.18%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 22:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.73%E -2.13%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.18%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 22:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.73%E -2.13%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.18%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.25%E -3.37%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.18%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.01%E -4.00%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.18%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -8.05%E -6.65%K -38.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.18%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-03 22:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -1.97%E -1.52%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -12.38%E -3.39%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 22:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |