The School of Odds
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Montreal Alouettes v Winnipeg Blue Bombers

2026-11-07 20:00 UTC — CFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Montreal Alouettes (Local)

Prediction 80.20%1.25fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -9.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.67%80.20%80.91%81.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.191.181.2285.47%84.03%84.75%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Visit)

Prediction 19.80%5.05fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.205%
Kelly -0.256%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.96%19.80%19.09%21.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.835.005.0022.22%20.69%20.00%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Montreal Alouettes (Local): 80.20%; Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Visit): 19.80%. For Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.05. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.00, with an expected value of -1.02%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.15%E -1.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -10.92%E -2.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-31 20:50
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.36%E -4.54%K -29.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.02%E -0.205%K -0.256%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-31 22:25
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.16%E -5.27%K -36.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.02%E -0.205%K -0.256%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 00:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.