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Montreal Alouettes v Saskatchewan Roughriders
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Montreal Alouettes (Local)
Prediction 72.59%1.38fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -8.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.48%72.61%72.40%74.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.321.321.3478.13%75.87%75.76%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Saskatchewan Roughriders (Visit)
Prediction 27.41%3.65fair odd
EV +4.17%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.49%
Growth +0.062%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.20%27.39%27.60%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.083.433.403.8032.47%29.17%29.41%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montreal Alouettes (Local): 72.59%; Saskatchewan Roughriders (Visit): 27.41%. For Saskatchewan Roughriders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -7.09%E -5.54%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +4.17%E +1.10%K +1.49%G +0.062% | 4.4% | 2026-10-12 16:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.91%E -3.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -0.487%E -0.134%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-12 16:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.28%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.72%EV -0.761%E -0.210%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-12 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.91%E -3.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.31%E -0.364%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-12 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.91%E -3.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.31%E -0.364%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-12 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.91%E -3.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.31%E -0.364%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-12 16:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.91%E -3.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.31%E -0.364%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-12 16:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.91%E -3.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.31%E -0.364%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-12 16:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.91%E -3.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.68%E -0.755%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-12 16:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.91%E -3.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.68%E -0.755%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-12 16:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.08%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -3.23%E -0.914%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 16:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-12 16:37 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-12 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 16:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-12 16:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-12 16:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 16:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 16:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.19%E -3.17%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 16:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.91%E -3.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-12 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 16:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.46%E -2.60%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 16:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-12 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.73%E -2.04%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-12 16:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.73%E -2.04%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-12 16:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.73%E -2.04%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-12 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.73%E -2.04%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-12 16:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.73%E -2.04%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-12 16:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.73%E -2.04%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-12 16:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.73%E -2.04%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-12 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-12 16:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.64%E -4.34%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-12 16:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.27%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-12 16:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.52%EV -15.56%E -5.05%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-12 16:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-10-12 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-10-12 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-10-12 16:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-10-12 16:50 |