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Montreal Alouettes v Ottawa Redblacks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Montreal Alouettes (Local)
Prediction 78.16%1.28fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -9.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.00%78.15%78.29%80.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.221.221.2584.03%82.07%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ottawa Redblacks (Visit)
Prediction 21.84%4.58fair odd
EV +6.14%
Edge +1.26%
Kelly +1.59%
Growth +0.098%
assuming max odds 4.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.70%21.85%21.71%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.394.414.8626.67%22.79%22.68%20.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montreal Alouettes (Local): 78.16%; Ottawa Redblacks (Visit): 21.84%. For Ottawa Redblacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.58. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.20%EV -6.21%E -5.17%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.80%EV +6.14%E +1.26%K +1.59%G +0.098% | 3.9% | 2026-06-28 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.20%EV -6.21%E -5.17%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.80%EV +6.14%E +1.26%K +1.59%G +0.098% | 3.9% | 2026-06-28 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.99%E -5.87%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +5.92%E +1.22%K +1.54%G +0.091% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.21%E -5.17%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.74%E +0.787%K +0.997%G +0.037% | 4.4% | 2026-06-28 22:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -5.43%E -4.48%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV +1.55%E +0.334%K +0.426%G +0.007% | 4.2% | 2026-06-28 22:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.21%E -5.17%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +1.55%E +0.334%K +0.426%G +0.007% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 02:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.43%E -4.48%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.462%E +0.100%K +0.128%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-06-27 03:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.43%E -4.48%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.462%E +0.100%K +0.128%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-06-27 03:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.43%E -4.48%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.462%E +0.100%K +0.128%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-06-27 03:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.43%E -4.48%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.462%E +0.100%K +0.128%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-06-27 03:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.43%E -4.48%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.462%E +0.100%K +0.128%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-06-27 03:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.43%E -4.48%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.462%E +0.100%K +0.128%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-06-27 03:26 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.64%E -3.81%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.72%E -0.383%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-28 02:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.64%E -3.81%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.72%E -0.383%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-28 20:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.64%E -3.81%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.72%E -0.383%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-28 22:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.09%EV -3.08%E -2.48%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.91%EV -3.47%E -0.785%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-28 23:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.64%E -3.81%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.91%E -0.888%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.43%E -4.48%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.91%E -0.888%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 03:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.21%E -5.17%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.91%E -0.888%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-27 03:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.08%E -2.48%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.09%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-28 22:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.86%E -3.14%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.09%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-28 22:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -2.30%E -1.84%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -7.18%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-28 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.64%E -3.81%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.18%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-28 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.64%E -3.81%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.18%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-28 02:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.86%E -3.14%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -8.27%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-25 19:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.86%E -3.14%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -8.27%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-25 19:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.30%E -1.84%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.64%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-28 22:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.64%E -3.81%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.64%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-25 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.64%E -3.81%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.64%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-25 17:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.08%E -2.48%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -17.01%E -4.48%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-28 22:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.30%E -1.84%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -18.10%E -4.83%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-28 22:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -6.21%E -5.17%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -18.10%E -4.83%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-27 23:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07% | 1.7% | 2026-06-28 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40% | 2.1% | 2026-06-28 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93% | 2.4% | 2026-06-28 22:59 |