Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Montreal Alouettes v Ottawa Redblacks

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 23:00 UTC

Final: Montreal Alouettes 12–27 Ottawa Redblacks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Montreal Alouettes (Local)

Prediction 74.56%1.34fair odd
EV -0.094%
Edge -0.070%
Kelly -0.277%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.48%74.56%76.19%76.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.281.251.3480.65%78.33%80.00%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ottawa Redblacks (Visit)

Prediction 25.44%3.93fair odd
EV +5.59%
Edge +1.35%
Kelly +1.77%
Growth +0.099%

assuming max odds 4.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.01%25.44%23.81%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.784.004.1531.25%26.43%25.00%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montreal Alouettes (Local): 74.56%; Ottawa Redblacks (Visit): 25.44%. For Ottawa Redblacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.93. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.59%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -7.55%E -6.09%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +5.59%E +1.35%K +1.77%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-21 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.80%E -5.44%K -27.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.77%E +0.444%K +0.591%G +0.010%5.0%2026-05-22 03:20
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -0.094%E -0.070%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -18.58%E -5.81%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 22:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.