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Montreal Alouettes v Ottawa Redblacks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Montreal Alouettes (Local)
Prediction 85.33%1.17fair odd
EV +6.67%
Edge +5.33%
Kelly +26.66%
Growth +1.78%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.96%85.31%85.41%86.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.121.111.2591.74%89.29%90.09%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ottawa Redblacks (Visit)
Prediction 14.67%6.82fair odd
EV +4.58%
Edge +0.643%
Kelly +0.747%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 7.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.47%14.69%14.59%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.956.296.177.1325.32%15.90%16.19%14.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montreal Alouettes (Local): 85.33%; Ottawa Redblacks (Visit): 14.67%. For Montreal Alouettes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.67%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV +6.67%E +5.33%K +26.66%G +1.78% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -42.06%E -10.65%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 23:33 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -2.72%E -2.39%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -10.53%E -1.73%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-20 23:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.72%E -2.39%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-20 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.72%E -2.39%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -14.93%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-20 23:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.72%E -2.39%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -14.93%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-20 23:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.57%E -3.16%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 16:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.31%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 7.06I 14.16%NM 13.69%EV +3.56%E +0.504%K +0.587%G +0.021% | 3.5% | 2026-08-20 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -0.992%E -0.147%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-20 21:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.66%E -0.717%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 15:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.33%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 21:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 23:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 23:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 23:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 20:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -15.66%E -2.72%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-20 23:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.43%E -3.95%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -15.66%E -2.72%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-20 23:28 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.01%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV +4.58%E +0.643%K +0.747%G +0.034% | 4.1% | 2026-08-20 20:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.01%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV +4.58%E +0.643%K +0.747%G +0.034% | 4.1% | 2026-08-20 20:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +2.68%E +0.382%K +0.446%G +0.012% | 4.4% | 2026-08-20 21:28 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +2.68%E +0.382%K +0.446%G +0.012% | 4.4% | 2026-08-20 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +2.68%E +0.382%K +0.446%G +0.012% | 4.4% | 2026-08-20 20:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +2.68%E +0.382%K +0.446%G +0.012% | 4.4% | 2026-08-20 20:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +2.68%E +0.382%K +0.446%G +0.012% | 4.4% | 2026-08-20 20:48 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.01%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +1.21%E +0.175%K +0.205%G +0.002% | 4.6% | 2026-08-20 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.01%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -3.19%E -0.484%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 21:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.01%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -3.19%E -0.484%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 21:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.66%E -0.717%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 16:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.01%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -10.53%E -1.73%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-20 20:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.99%E -2.00%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 23:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.01%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -13.46%E -2.28%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 23:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -5.28%E -4.76%K -48.01%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -17.86%E -3.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.13%E -5.58%K -61.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.68%E +0.382%K +0.446%G +0.012% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 16:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.13%E -5.58%K -61.35%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -8.33%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.20%EV -6.99%E -6.41%K -77.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.80%EV -20.79%E -3.85%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-20 14:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79% | 3.6% | 2026-08-20 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79% | 3.6% | 2026-08-20 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79% | 3.6% | 2026-08-20 23:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79% | 3.6% | 2026-08-20 23:30 |