Language:English
Montreal Alouettes v Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Montreal Alouettes (Local)
Prediction 79.96%1.25fair odd
EV -0.056%
Edge -0.045%
Kelly -0.224%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.19%79.69%80.59%82.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.191.191.2586.96%84.11%84.03%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit)
Prediction 20.04%4.99fair odd
EV +13.45%
Edge +2.38%
Kelly +2.89%
Growth +0.388%
assuming max odds 5.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.13%20.31%19.41%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.744.805.6625.00%21.10%20.83%17.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montreal Alouettes (Local): 79.96%; Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit): 20.04%. For Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.99. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.87%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 5.66I 17.67%NM 17.13%EV +13.45%E +2.38%K +2.89%G +0.388% | 3.1% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -8.05%E -7.00%K -53.68%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +8.24%E +1.53%K +1.87%G +0.154% | 5.5% | 2026-07-26 22:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.32%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +6.24%E +1.18%K +1.45%G +0.090% | 5.1% | 2026-07-26 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +2.23%E +0.437%K +0.543%G +0.012% | 4.4% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +2.23%E +0.437%K +0.543%G +0.012% | 4.4% | 2026-07-24 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.224%E +0.045%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-26 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.224%E +0.045%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-26 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.224%E +0.045%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-26 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.224%E +0.045%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-26 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.224%E +0.045%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-26 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.224%E +0.045%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-26 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.224%E +0.045%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-26 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.224%E +0.045%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-26 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -1.78%E -0.363%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -1.78%E -0.363%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-26 21:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.78%E -0.363%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-26 17:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -1.78%E -0.363%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-26 22:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -3.79%E -0.789%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-26 19:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.79%E -0.789%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-24 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.79%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -5.79%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -6.79%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.79%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 11:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.79%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -7.79%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -8.80%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 21:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.80%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-26 13:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -9.80%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -8.05%E -7.00%K -53.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -13.81%E -3.21%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-26 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -0.856%E -0.690%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -14.81%E -3.48%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-26 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -3.25%E -2.69%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -17.82%E -4.35%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -1.66%E -1.35%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -18.82%E -4.65%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -0.056%E -0.045%K -0.224%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -19.82%E -4.96%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.45%E -2.01%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.82%E -4.96%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.45%E -2.01%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.82%E -4.96%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 23:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.10% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.90% | 2.8% | 2026-07-26 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35% | 3.3% | 2026-07-26 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35% | 3.3% | 2026-07-26 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-07-26 23:05 |