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Montreal Alouettes v Edmonton Elks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Montreal Alouettes (Local)
Prediction 67.03%1.49fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -7.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%67.08%66.78%70.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.421.4473.53%70.69%70.42%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Edmonton Elks (Visit)
Prediction 32.97%3.03fair odd
EV +5.18%
Edge +1.62%
Kelly +2.37%
Growth +0.123%
assuming max odds 3.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.89%32.92%33.22%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.722.892.853.1936.76%34.57%35.09%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montreal Alouettes (Local): 67.03%; Edmonton Elks (Visit): 32.97%. For Edmonton Elks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.19, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.18%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -8.84%E -6.50%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV +5.18%E +1.62%K +2.37%G +0.123% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 18:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.49%E -3.89%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +0.565%E +0.185%K +0.276%G +0.002% | 3.7% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -5.49%E -3.89%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -0.094%E -0.031%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -5.49%E -3.89%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -0.094%E -0.031%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -5.49%E -3.89%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -0.094%E -0.031%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.49%E -3.89%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.08%E -0.361%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.08%E -0.361%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -5.49%E -3.89%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -1.74%E -0.585%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.50%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.50%EV -2.07%E -0.698%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-08 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.73%E -0.926%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.38%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 18:48 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.38%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.38%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.38%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.38%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.03%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 18:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.03%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.03%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.03%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 18:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.03%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.03%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.03%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 18:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.03%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 18:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.03%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.03%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 18:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.03%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 18:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.03%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 18:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.82%EV -5.49%E -3.89%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -6.36%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 18:53 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.33%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.49%E -3.89%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -9.33%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.33%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.67%EV -8.84%E -6.50%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.33%EV -10.32%E -3.79%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 19:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33% | 1.4% | 2026-08-08 19:00 |
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