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Montreal Alouettes v BC Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Montreal Alouettes (Local)
Prediction 62.43%1.60fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -4.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.56%62.55%62.50%64.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.531.531.5667.57%65.37%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
BC Lions (Visit)
Prediction 37.57%2.66fair odd
EV +0.696%
Edge +0.260%
Kelly +0.414%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.58%37.45%37.50%38.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.372.542.552.6842.19%39.40%39.22%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montreal Alouettes (Local): 62.43%; BC Lions (Visit): 37.57%. For BC Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.68, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.696%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV +0.696%E +0.260%K +0.414%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 03:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -4.49%E -2.93%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -1.56%E -0.595%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.61%E -1.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.31%E -0.888%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 21:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.86%E -2.51%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.31%E -0.888%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-04 12:22 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.86%E -2.51%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.31%E -0.888%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-03 16:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.49%E -2.93%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.31%E -0.888%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-03 20:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.11%E -3.36%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.31%E -0.888%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.61%E -1.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.44%E -1.34%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.61%E -1.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.44%E -1.34%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.61%E -1.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 20:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.61%E -1.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.49%E -2.93%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 20:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.49%E -2.93%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.49%E -2.93%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.49%E -2.93%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.49%E -2.93%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.49%E -2.93%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.49%E -2.93%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.49%E -2.93%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.49%E -2.93%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 15:38 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.49%E -2.93%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 21:28 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.49%E -2.93%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.32%E -2.11%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.61%E -1.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 18:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.49%E -2.93%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 20:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.49%E -2.93%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 20:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.49%E -2.93%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.49%E -2.93%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 15:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.49%E -2.93%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.49%E -2.93%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 19:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.49%E -2.93%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.11%E -3.36%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 19:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.36%E -4.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 19:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.56%EV -7.61%E -5.14%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.44%EV -10.95%E -4.62%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15% | 1.7% | 2026-09-04 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 1.8% | 2026-09-04 10:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 1.8% | 2026-09-04 10:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 1.8% | 2026-09-04 10:35 |