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Hamilton Tiger-Cats v Toronto Argonauts
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Local)
Prediction 35.50%2.82fair odd
EV +2.96%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.56%
Growth +0.046%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%35.42%35.48%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.672.652.9040.00%37.45%37.74%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toronto Argonauts (Visit)
Prediction 64.50%1.55fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -5.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.58%64.52%66.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.481.481.5170.42%67.59%67.57%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Local): 35.50%; Toronto Argonauts (Visit): 64.50%. For Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.96%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV +2.96%E +1.02%K +1.56%G +0.046% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -7.12%E -4.95%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-07 14:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -0.591%E -0.211%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.83%E -4.00%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 18:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.591%E -0.211%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 18:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.37%E -0.860%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.90%E -2.62%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.37%E -0.860%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.83%E -4.00%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 16:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -3.08%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.54%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV -3.43%E -1.26%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45%EV -3.25%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-07 18:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -3.43%E -1.26%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.54%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-07 18:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.61%E -1.73%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-07 18:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.61%E -1.73%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-07 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.25%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-07 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.54%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 20:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.19%E -3.53%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.83%E -4.00%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 18:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.83%E -4.00%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 18:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.61%E -1.73%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-07 18:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.25%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 11:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.90%E -2.62%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.90%E -2.62%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 18:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.90%E -2.62%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 18:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.90%E -2.62%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.90%E -2.62%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 18:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.90%E -2.62%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 18:03 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.90%E -2.62%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 18:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.54%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.54%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 18:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.92%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.54%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 11:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.69%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.54%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.69%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.54%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.69%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.47%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.19%E -3.53%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-07 11:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.47%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.19%E -3.53%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.04%EV -10.53%E -4.18%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.96%EV -8.41%E -5.93%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.25%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-07 18:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-09-07 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-09-07 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02% | 1.4% | 2026-09-07 18:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17% | 1.9% | 2026-09-07 18:20 |