The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Hamilton Tiger-Cats v Toronto Argonauts

Kickoff: 2026-07-18 23:38 UTC

Final: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 24–23 Toronto Argonauts

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Local)

Prediction 35.23%2.84fair odd
EV +1.82%
Edge +0.631%
Kelly +0.965%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 2.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%35.18%35.16%36.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.712.742.8939.22%36.84%36.50%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Argonauts (Visit)

Prediction 64.77%1.54fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -5.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.43%64.82%64.84%66.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.461.461.5071.94%68.40%68.49%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.89I 34.60%NM 33.41%EV +1.82%E +0.631%K +0.965%G +0.018%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-18 23:33
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +0.415%E +0.146%K +0.224%G +0.001%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 23:20
MyBookie.ag2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -0.994%E -0.354%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 23:14
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.35%E -0.481%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.44%E -3.73%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 23:30
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.35%E -0.481%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 22:50
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.35%E -0.481%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 22:29
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.35%E -0.481%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 23:05
Caesars2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -2.05%E -0.738%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -5.44%E -3.73%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 23:34
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.11%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 22:35
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.11%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.44%E -3.73%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 22:30
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.11%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 22:30
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.11%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 22:30
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.11%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 22:30
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.11%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 22:29
BetOnline.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -3.46%E -1.26%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-18 22:30
LowVig.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -3.46%E -1.26%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-18 22:29
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.87%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-18 22:30
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.87%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.44%E -3.73%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.87%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.44%E -3.73%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 22:50
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.87%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 22:30
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.87%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.87%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 22:30
Betway2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.63%E -2.50%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-18 22:40
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.63%E -2.50%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 22:35
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -6.98%E -2.65%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 23:20
ReBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.66%EV -7.69%E -2.93%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 65.34%EV -9.97%E -7.18%K -25.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 23:05
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 23:15
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 23:15
Coolbet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -9.45%E -3.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -4.79%E -3.26%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 23:30
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -10.16%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -4.79%E -3.26%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 22:40
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -10.16%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -4.79%E -3.26%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.3%2026-07-18 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.3%2026-07-18 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.3%2026-07-18 23:35
ProphetX2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.3%2026-07-18 23:30