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Hamilton Tiger-Cats v Saskatchewan Roughriders
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Local)
Prediction 28.06%3.56fair odd
EV +1.01%
Edge +0.281%
Kelly +0.389%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.53%27.99%27.90%29.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.403.453.6031.25%29.37%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Saskatchewan Roughriders (Visit)
Prediction 71.94%1.39fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -6.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.18%72.01%72.10%73.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.321.321.3679.37%75.89%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Local): 28.06%; Saskatchewan Roughriders (Visit): 71.94%. For Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.01%E +0.281%K +0.389%G +0.004% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.76%E -4.39%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 13:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +1.01%E +0.281%K +0.389%G +0.004% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.48%E -4.98%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.391%E -0.110%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.48%E -4.98%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 14:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV -0.952%E -0.270%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.63%EV -4.32%E -3.25%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-15 20:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.79%E -0.513%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.32%E -3.25%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 20:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.79%E -0.513%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.48%E -4.98%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.79%E -0.513%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.48%E -4.98%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.79%E -0.513%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.48%E -4.98%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.79%E -0.513%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.48%E -4.98%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.79%E -0.513%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.48%E -4.98%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.79%E -0.513%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.48%E -4.98%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.79%E -0.513%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.48%E -4.98%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 22:58 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -2.07%E -0.594%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -4.32%E -3.25%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 20:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -2.07%E -0.594%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -4.32%E -3.25%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 20:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.20%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.04%E -3.82%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.20%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.04%E -3.82%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 22:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.48%E -4.98%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 13:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.48%E -4.98%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 13:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-15 22:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.60%E -2.69%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 20:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.25%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 20:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.25%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 20:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.41%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 20:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.41%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.25%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 21:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.48%E -4.98%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 20:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.25%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 22:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.25%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 22:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.25%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 20:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.76%E -4.39%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 21:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.76%E -4.39%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 22:53 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.00%EV -9.09%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.00%EV -9.35%E -7.42%K -35.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.16%E -1.59%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 20:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.04%E -3.82%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 20:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68% | 1.8% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68% | 1.8% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |