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Hamilton Tiger-Cats v Montreal Alouettes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Local)
Prediction 30.56%3.27fair odd
EV +2.67%
Edge +0.794%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.030%
assuming max odds 3.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.72%30.50%30.80%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.133.103.3634.72%32.00%32.26%29.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Montreal Alouettes (Visit)
Prediction 69.44%1.44fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -6.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.18%69.50%69.20%71.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.371.371.4075.19%72.98%72.99%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Local): 30.56%; Montreal Alouettes (Visit): 69.44%. For Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.36, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.67%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.81%EV +2.67%E +0.794%K +1.13%G +0.030% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.19%EV -5.56%E -4.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-18 08:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +2.36%E +0.705%K +1.01%G +0.024% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -5.56%E -4.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-17 16:28 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +2.36%E +0.705%K +1.01%G +0.024% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -6.25%E -4.63%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-18 08:12 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +0.835%E +0.253%K +0.363%G +0.003% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -6.25%E -4.63%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-18 14:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.693%E -0.213%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.56%E -4.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-18 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -1.61%E -0.500%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.86%E -3.55%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-18 14:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -1.61%E -0.500%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.86%E -3.55%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-18 14:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.22%E -0.694%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.86%E -3.55%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-18 14:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.22%E -0.694%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.86%E -3.55%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-18 14:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.22%E -0.694%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.56%E -4.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-15 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.75%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.86%E -3.55%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.47%E -2.50%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-15 15:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.17%E -3.02%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 16:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.17%E -3.02%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.17%E -3.02%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.17%E -3.02%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.17%E -3.02%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 13:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.17%E -3.02%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 13:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.17%E -3.02%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 13:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.17%E -3.02%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 13:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.17%E -3.02%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 13:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.17%E -3.02%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 13:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.17%E -3.02%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 13:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.86%E -3.55%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.56%E -4.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.56%E -4.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.56%E -4.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.17%E -3.02%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 15:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.25%E -4.63%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.78%E -1.98%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-14 14:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.78%E -1.98%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 17:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.86%E -3.55%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-17 10:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.56%E -4.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.56%E -4.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-17 02:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -12.00%E -4.17%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -7.64%E -5.74%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68% | 1.8% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68% | 1.8% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68% | 1.8% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51% | 2.8% | 2026-09-18 13:05 |