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Hamilton Tiger-Cats v Calgary Stampeders
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Local)
Prediction 31.97%3.13fair odd
EV +2.29%
Edge +0.716%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.98%31.84%31.82%34.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.972.953.2036.36%33.70%33.90%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Calgary Stampeders (Visit)
Prediction 68.03%1.47fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.932%
Kelly -3.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.48%68.16%68.18%70.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.401.4573.53%71.38%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Local): 31.97%; Calgary Stampeders (Visit): 68.03%. For Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +2.29%E +0.716%K +1.04%G +0.024% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -6.79%E -4.96%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +0.693%E +0.220%K +0.322%G +0.002% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.79%E -4.96%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 18:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.693%E +0.220%K +0.322%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.47%E -5.50%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 18:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.693%E +0.220%K +0.322%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.47%E -5.50%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.693%E +0.220%K +0.322%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.47%E -5.50%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 18:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.693%E +0.220%K +0.322%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.47%E -5.50%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 18:33 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.905%E -0.292%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.47%E -5.50%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.50%E -0.821%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.75%E -3.39%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 17:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.50%E -0.821%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.43%E -3.91%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -2.50%E -0.821%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.47%E -5.50%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 17:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.75%E -3.39%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 18:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.75%E -3.39%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 18:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.75%E -3.39%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 01:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.75%E -3.39%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 18:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -4.74%E -1.59%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -4.75%E -3.39%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 18:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -3.39%E -2.39%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.71%E -1.90%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-30 19:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.71%E -1.90%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-01 18:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.39%E -2.39%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.75%E -3.39%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 18:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.75%E -3.39%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.11%E -4.43%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -7.62%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -2.03%E -1.41%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-30 16:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -7.62%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -2.03%E -1.41%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-30 16:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.03%E -1.41%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-30 16:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.03%E -1.41%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-30 16:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.03%E -1.41%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-31 14:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.39%E -2.39%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-30 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.39%E -2.39%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-30 19:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.39%E -2.39%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 18:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.75%E -3.39%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-01 18:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -5.43%E -3.91%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 18:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.01%EV -11.77%E -4.27%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.99%EV -7.47%E -5.50%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 18:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -12.09%E -4.40%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.35%E -0.932%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 16:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 0.3% | 2026-08-01 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 2.2% | 2026-08-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 2.2% | 2026-08-01 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 2.2% | 2026-08-01 18:45 |
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