The School of Odds
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Edmonton Elks v Winnipeg Blue Bombers

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC

Final: Edmonton Elks 35–27 Winnipeg Blue Bombers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Edmonton Elks (Local)

Prediction 69.92%1.43fair odd
EV +6.28%
Edge +4.13%
Kelly +12.09%
Growth +0.759%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.84%69.47%69.99%71.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.371.361.5274.63%73.15%73.53%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Visit)

Prediction 30.08%3.32fair odd
EV +2.26%
Edge +0.664%
Kelly +0.941%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.27%30.53%30.01%37.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.573.123.153.4038.91%32.07%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Edmonton Elks (Local): 69.92%; Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Visit): 30.08%. For Edmonton Elks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.43. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV +6.28%E +4.13%K +12.09%G +0.759%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -22.70%E -8.83%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-14 11:44
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.11%E -1.50%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-17 00:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.11%E -1.50%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 00:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -2.81%E -2.02%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -9.17%E -3.04%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 01:05
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.13%EV -3.51%E -2.54%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV -2.55%E -0.788%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-17 01:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.51%E -2.54%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 00:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.51%E -2.54%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 00:45
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.51%E -2.54%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 00:45
picklebet_au🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.51%E -2.54%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 01:00
Bovada🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 00:39
Fanatics🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 00:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 00:50
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 01:05
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 00:40
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 00:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 00:45
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 00:45
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 00:45
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 00:45
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 00:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 00:50
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 01:00
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 01:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 01:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 01:00
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 01:05
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 01:05
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 01:05
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 00:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 00:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 00:45
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -12.78%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 01:04
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +2.26%E +0.664%K +0.941%G +0.021%4.0%2026-10-17 00:50
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -15.79%E -5.64%K -8.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-17 01:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-10-17 01:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-10-17 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-10-17 01:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-10-17 01:25