The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Edmonton Elks v Toronto Argonauts

2026-08-15 19:00 UTC — CFL

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Edmonton Elks (Local)

Prediction 65.88%1.52fair odd
EV -4.47%
Edge -3.08%
Kelly -9.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.88%65.88%65.88%65.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.451.451.4568.97%68.97%68.97%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Argonauts (Visit)

Prediction 34.12%2.93fair odd
EV -4.47%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.12%34.12%34.12%34.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.802.802.8035.71%35.71%35.71%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Edmonton Elks (Local): 65.88%; Toronto Argonauts (Visit): 34.12%. For Edmonton Elks (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.52. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.45, with an expected value of -4.47%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.47%E -3.08%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.47%E -1.60%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 15:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.