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Edmonton Elks v Toronto Argonauts
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Edmonton Elks (Local)
Prediction 62.77%1.59fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.925%
Kelly -2.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.07%62.93%62.77%65.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.511.521.5768.97%66.05%65.79%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toronto Argonauts (Visit)
Prediction 37.23%2.69fair odd
EV +4.24%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +2.36%
Growth +0.100%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.43%37.07%37.23%38.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.392.542.552.8041.84%39.31%39.22%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Edmonton Elks (Local): 62.77%; Toronto Argonauts (Visit): 37.23%. For Toronto Argonauts (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -7.73%E -5.26%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV +4.24%E +1.52%K +2.36%G +0.100% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 17:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV +1.64%E +0.600%K +0.947%G +0.016% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV +1.27%E +0.466%K +0.736%G +0.009% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +0.522%E +0.193%K +0.307%G +0.002% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 18:08 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.47%E -4.34%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.34%E -0.506%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 17:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.33%E -2.17%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.83%E -1.08%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.33%E -2.17%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.83%E -1.08%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.33%E -2.17%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.96%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 14:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%EV -6.47%E -4.34%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -4.69%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.96%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.06%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 19:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.59%E -3.02%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.06%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 21:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.59%E -3.02%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.06%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.06%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.45%E -0.925%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 19:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.71%E -1.75%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-11 19:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.33%E -2.17%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.96%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 19:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.96%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 19:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.96%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.96%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -6.47%E -4.34%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -7.67%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -3.96%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -8.04%E -3.26%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -3.96%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -8.04%E -3.26%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.96%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 19:02 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-12 19:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.98%E -6.20%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.96%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 19:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.59%E -3.02%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 19:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.92%EV -7.73%E -5.26%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.08%EV -11.02%E -4.61%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 19:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |