The School of Odds

Edmonton Elks v Ottawa Redblacks

Kickoff: 2026-07-10 01:10 UTC

Final: Edmonton Elks 40–17 Ottawa Redblacks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Edmonton Elks (Local)

Prediction 71.05%1.41fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -5.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.20%71.16%70.96%72.46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.291.341.331.3877.52%74.66%75.19%72.46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Ottawa Redblacks (Visit)

Prediction 28.95%3.45fair odd
EV +1.31%
Edge +0.375%
Kelly +0.525%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.54%28.84%29.04%30.80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.083.263.253.5032.47%30.70%30.77%28.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +1.31%E +0.375%K +0.525%G +0.007%3.8%2026-07-10 01:04
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.135%E -0.039%K -0.055%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 01:05
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 71.52%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.48%EV -1.87%E -0.552%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-10 00:59
MyBookie.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -2.74%E -0.816%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 01:01
Bovada1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.03%E -0.904%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 01:03
Caesars1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.03%E -0.904%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 01:04
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.03%E -0.904%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:59
Everygame1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -2.66%E -1.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-10 00:58
BetMGM1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-10 01:05
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-10 01:05
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-10 01:05
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-10 01:04
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-10 01:05
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-10 01:05
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 01:05
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 01:05
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 01:05
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.79%E -3.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 00:59
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 01:04
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.92%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 01:05
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -1.95%E -1.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 01:00
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.37%E -2.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 00:59
Dabble (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 00:59
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 01:05
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.21%E -4.70%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 00:59
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.21%E -4.70%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.37%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 01:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.82%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 01:05
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.08%E -3.02%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.82%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 01:04
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -8.82%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 00:59
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.50%E -4.13%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -8.82%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.63%E -5.87%K -25.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.82%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 01:05
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.95%E -1.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 00:59
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -8.34%E -6.47%K -28.76%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.52%EV -10.85%E -3.52%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-10 00:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-07-10 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-07-10 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-07-10 01:05
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%3.2%2026-07-10 01:01