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Edmonton Elks v Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Edmonton Elks (Local)
Prediction 77.01%1.30fair odd
EV -0.662%
Edge -0.513%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.40%76.88%77.21%79.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.241.241.2982.64%80.85%80.65%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit)
Prediction 22.99%4.35fair odd
EV +6.46%
Edge +1.40%
Kelly +1.78%
Growth +0.115%
assuming max odds 4.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.85%23.12%22.79%25.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.144.204.6327.03%24.13%23.81%21.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Edmonton Elks (Local): 77.01%; Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit): 22.99%. For Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.35. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.15%EV -6.05%E -4.96%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.85%EV +6.46%E +1.40%K +1.78%G +0.115% | 3.6% | 2026-09-26 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.05%E -4.96%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +3.47%E +0.772%K +0.992%G +0.034% | 4.2% | 2026-09-26 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -6.82%E -5.64%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +2.32%E +0.522%K +0.673%G +0.016% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 22:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.82%E -5.64%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +1.17%E +0.266%K +0.345%G +0.004% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 22:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.82%E -5.64%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +1.17%E +0.266%K +0.345%G +0.004% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 22:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.82%E -5.64%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +1.17%E +0.266%K +0.345%G +0.004% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 22:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.82%E -5.64%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +1.17%E +0.266%K +0.345%G +0.004% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 22:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.82%E -5.64%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +1.17%E +0.266%K +0.345%G +0.004% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 22:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.82%E -5.64%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +1.17%E +0.266%K +0.345%G +0.004% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 22:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -6.82%E -5.64%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +1.17%E +0.266%K +0.345%G +0.004% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 22:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.51%E -3.64%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -0.207%E -0.048%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.51%E -3.64%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -0.207%E -0.048%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.05%E -4.96%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -1.13%E -0.262%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 22:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.51%E -3.64%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.28%E -0.536%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-26 16:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.51%E -3.64%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.28%E -0.536%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-24 22:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.05%E -4.96%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.28%E -0.536%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-26 22:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.74%E -2.99%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.43%E -0.816%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.51%E -3.64%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.43%E -0.816%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-25 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.51%E -3.64%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.43%E -0.816%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-26 22:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.51%E -3.64%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.43%E -0.816%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-24 20:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.74%E -2.99%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 03:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.51%E -3.64%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-25 23:43 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -3.74%E -2.99%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -6.88%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-25 03:18 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.74%E -2.99%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.02%E -2.01%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-21 18:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.74%E -2.99%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.02%E -2.01%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.74%E -2.99%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.02%E -2.01%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 20:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.05%E -4.96%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.02%E -2.01%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 22:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -0.662%E -0.513%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-26 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -0.662%E -0.513%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -13.77%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-24 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.20%E -1.73%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.77%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.20%E -1.73%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.77%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.74%E -2.99%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.77%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-26 22:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -2.97%E -2.36%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -14.92%E -4.03%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.74%E -2.99%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -14.92%E -4.03%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 22:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -6.82%E -5.64%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -14.92%E -4.03%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-25 23:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.6% | 2026-09-26 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.6% | 2026-09-26 20:25 |