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Edmonton Elks v Calgary Stampeders
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Edmonton Elks (Local)
Prediction 62.15%1.61fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.747%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.10%62.26%62.50%64.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.531.511.5968.97%65.49%66.23%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Calgary Stampeders (Visit)
Prediction 37.85%2.64fair odd
EV +3.72%
Edge +1.36%
Kelly +2.14%
Growth +0.080%
assuming max odds 2.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.24%37.74%37.50%39.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.542.552.7442.55%39.37%39.22%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Edmonton Elks (Local): 62.15%; Calgary Stampeders (Visit): 37.85%. For Calgary Stampeders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +3.72%E +1.36%K +2.14%G +0.080% | 3.2% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +3.72%E +1.36%K +2.14%G +0.080% | 3.2% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV +2.96%E +1.09%K +1.72%G +0.051% | 3.4% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -8.02%E -5.42%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV +2.96%E +1.09%K +1.72%G +0.051% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.92%E -3.21%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.313%E +0.118%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 3.1% | 2026-09-12 22:52 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -6.16%E -4.08%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +0.313%E +0.118%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -6.16%E -4.08%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +0.313%E +0.118%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.92%E -3.21%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -0.444%E -0.169%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -1.20%E -0.460%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.58%E -0.607%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.92%E -3.21%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.47%E -1.36%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.54%E -3.64%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.47%E -1.36%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.54%E -3.64%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.47%E -1.36%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.16%E -4.08%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.47%E -1.36%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.16%E -4.08%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.47%E -1.36%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.16%E -4.08%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.47%E -1.36%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 22:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.16%E -4.08%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.47%E -1.36%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.16%E -4.08%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.47%E -1.36%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.16%E -4.08%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.47%E -1.36%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.43%E -1.55%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.05%E -1.96%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.92%E -3.21%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.92%E -3.21%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.36%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.19%E -0.747%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -9.89%E -6.82%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.28%EV -7.64%E -3.13%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.19%E -0.747%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.19%E -0.747%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.43%E -1.55%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -1.81%E -1.15%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -9.91%E -4.16%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -1.81%E -1.15%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -9.91%E -4.16%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.05%E -1.96%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -11.04%E -4.70%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.67%E -2.37%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.04%E -4.70%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82% | 2.1% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19% | 3.1% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19% | 3.1% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19% | 3.1% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |