The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Edmonton Elks v Calgary Stampeders

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 01:00 UTC

Final: Edmonton Elks 18–21 Calgary Stampeders

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Edmonton Elks (Local)

Prediction 72.44%1.38fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -8.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.31%73.10%72.44%77.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.311.331.3480.65%76.09%75.19%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Calgary Stampeders (Visit)

Prediction 27.56%3.63fair odd
EV +15.73%
Edge +3.75%
Kelly +4.92%
Growth +0.773%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.79%26.90%27.56%29.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.423.204.2031.75%29.23%31.25%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Edmonton Elks (Local): 72.44%; Calgary Stampeders (Visit): 27.56%. For Calgary Stampeders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -10.17%E -8.20%K -42.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +15.73%E +3.75%K +4.92%G +0.773%4.5%2026-05-28 22:19
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.55%E -5.07%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +3.33%E +0.889%K +1.21%G +0.040%4.2%2026-05-29 11:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.65%E -2.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 14:00
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -2.92%E -2.18%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:00
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -2.92%E -2.18%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 13:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -3.65%E -2.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -13.20%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -3.65%E -2.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -13.20%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.