Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Edmonton Elks v BC Lions

Kickoff: 2026-07-18 01:10 UTC

Final: Edmonton Elks 19–17 BC Lions

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Edmonton Elks (Local)

Prediction 51.62%1.94fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.732%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.66%51.86%53.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.831.821.9157.80%54.76%54.95%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BC Lions (Visit)

Prediction 48.38%2.07fair odd
EV -0.346%
Edge -0.168%
Kelly -0.327%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.35%48.34%48.14%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.961.952.0652.36%50.93%51.28%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.40%E -0.732%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.60%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 01:00
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.40%E -0.732%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.60%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 01:05
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.46%E -1.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.67%E -2.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 01:00
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.46%E -1.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.67%E -2.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 01:00
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.46%E -1.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.15%E -3.17%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.46%E -1.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.15%E -3.17%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 01:00
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.46%E -1.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.63%E -3.44%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 01:00
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 51.94%EV -3.98%E -2.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.06%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-18 00:59
Betsson1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -3.98%E -2.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -7.12%E -3.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 01:05
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.67%E -2.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 00:59
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.25%E -1.62%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 01:00
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.25%E -1.62%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 01:00
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -3.73%E -1.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 00:59
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.70%E -2.39%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 00:59
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.22%E -2.13%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 01:05
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.70%E -2.39%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 01:05
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.70%E -2.39%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 01:05
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.70%E -2.39%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 01:05
NordicBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -6.56%E -3.62%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -4.22%E -2.13%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 01:00
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -1.31%E -0.644%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 00:59
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.25%E -1.62%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 01:00
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.67%E -2.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 01:00
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.67%E -2.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 00:59
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -6.15%E -3.17%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 01:00
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -7.59%E -4.24%K -9.61%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -6.15%E -3.17%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 01:05
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -8.11%E -4.56%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.346%E -0.168%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.04%EV -9.14%E -5.19%K -12.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -7.60%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 01:05
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -9.66%E -5.52%K -12.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -4.22%E -2.13%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 00:59
ReBet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.73%EV -10.69%E -6.18%K -14.64%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -6.63%E -3.44%K -7.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 00:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-07-18 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-07-18 01:05
ProphetX1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%2.4%2026-07-18 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%3.7%2026-07-18 01:05