Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Stampeders v Saskatchewan Roughriders

Kickoff: 2026-06-20 23:15 UTC

Final: Calgary Stampeders 37–40 Saskatchewan Roughriders

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Stampeders (Local)

Prediction 49.53%2.02fair odd
EV +1.54%
Edge +0.753%
Kelly +1.47%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.60%49.41%50.00%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.941.952.0554.64%51.45%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saskatchewan Roughriders (Visit)

Prediction 50.47%1.98fair odd
EV +0.933%
Edge +0.466%
Kelly +0.933%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%50.59%50.00%53.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.851.832.0057.14%54.14%54.64%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Calgary Stampeders (Local): 49.53%; Saskatchewan Roughriders (Visit): 50.47%. For Calgary Stampeders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.54%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +1.54%E +0.753%K +1.47%G +0.023%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 23:09
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.05%E +0.514%K +1.01%G +0.011%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.17%E -5.71%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 22:59
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV +0.058%E +0.029%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -10.17%E -5.71%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-20 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV +0.058%E +0.029%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -10.17%E -5.71%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-20 23:10
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.933%E -0.466%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.65%E -4.18%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 23:05
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -0.933%E -0.466%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.15%E -4.48%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 22:59
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -0.933%E -0.466%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -8.66%E -4.78%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -0.933%E -0.466%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -8.66%E -4.78%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -0.933%E -0.466%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -8.66%E -4.78%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 23:10
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -0.933%E -0.466%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -8.66%E -4.78%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 23:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.933%E -0.466%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -1.92%E -0.971%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.65%E -4.18%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 22:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -1.92%E -0.971%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -10.67%E -6.03%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 22:59
Caesars🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -2.42%E -1.23%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.63%E -3.01%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-20 23:07
MyBookie.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.91%E -1.49%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.64%E -3.59%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 23:06
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.41%E -1.75%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.63%E -3.01%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 23:10
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.41%E -1.75%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.63%E -3.01%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 23:09
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -3.41%E -1.75%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -9.67%E -5.40%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-20 23:09
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -4.40%E -2.28%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -10.67%E -6.03%K -13.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-20 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -4.40%E -2.28%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -11.18%E -6.35%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-20 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 23:10
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 23:09
FanDuel🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.89%E -3.10%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.38%E -3.38%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.44%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 23:10
Betsson🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.38%E -3.38%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.44%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 23:10
ReBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -6.38%E -3.38%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%EV -11.68%E -6.68%K -15.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-20 22:59
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -6.88%E -3.66%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV +0.428%E +0.215%K +0.433%G +0.002%3.4%2026-06-20 23:10
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.37%E -3.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.59%E -0.816%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 23:09
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.37%E -3.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 23:10
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.37%E -3.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -3.01%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.37%E -3.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -3.01%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -9.35%E -5.11%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.933%E +0.466%K +0.933%G +0.009%4.6%2026-06-20 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -9.35%E -5.11%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.933%E +0.466%K +0.933%G +0.009%4.6%2026-06-20 23:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.0%2026-06-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.0%2026-06-20 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.0%2026-06-20 23:10