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Calgary Stampeders v Montreal Alouettes

Kickoff: 2026-07-18 20:08 UTC

Final: Calgary Stampeders 32–38 Montreal Alouettes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Stampeders (Local)

Prediction 45.38%2.20fair odd
EV -0.163%
Edge -0.074%
Kelly -0.136%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%45.09%45.53%46.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.082.082.2051.02%48.00%48.08%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Montreal Alouettes (Visit)

Prediction 54.62%1.83fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.936%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.12%54.91%54.47%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.751.751.8060.61%57.28%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.163%E -0.074%K -0.136%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.60%E -3.86%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 19:55
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -0.163%E -0.074%K -0.136%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.69%E -4.55%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 20:05
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.163%E -0.074%K -0.136%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.79%E -5.26%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:05
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-18 19:50
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.24%E -4.90%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 20:05
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.24%E -4.90%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 20:05
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.88%E -5.99%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 20:05
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.79%E -1.79%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.05%E -3.52%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 14:09
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.32%E -1.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 19:55
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.32%E -1.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 17:15
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.32%E -1.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 13:10
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.32%E -1.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 17:24
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-14 17:49
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.42%E -2.52%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 17:15
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.42%E -2.52%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 19:40
Caesars2.09I 47.85%NM 45.85%EV -5.15%E -2.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.15%EV -3.32%E -1.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 22:03
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.61%E -2.70%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.42%E -2.52%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 19:40
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.61%E -2.70%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.42%E -2.52%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 17:10
MyBookie.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.06%E -2.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 19:44
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.68%E -0.936%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 11:19
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.68%E -0.936%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 11:20
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.68%E -0.936%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 11:20
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.42%E -2.52%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.42%E -2.52%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 17:10
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.51%E -3.18%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-16 20:15
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.78%E -1.56%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 20:05
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.78%E -1.56%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 20:05
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.78%E -1.56%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 20:05
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.78%E -1.56%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 20:05
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.33%E -4.12%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.42%E -2.52%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 19:45
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -9.24%E -4.62%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 20:05
ReBet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.17%EV -10.60%E -5.38%K -10.93%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.83%EV -7.69%E -4.55%K -11.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -11.05%E -5.64%K -11.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -5.51%E -3.18%K -7.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 20:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%1.4%2026-07-18 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%8.5%2026-07-18 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%8.5%2026-07-18 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%8.5%2026-07-18 20:05