Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Stampeders v Hamilton Tiger-Cats

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 19:00 UTC

Final: Calgary Stampeders 28–23 Hamilton Tiger-Cats

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Stampeders (Local)

Prediction 56.90%1.76fair odd
EV +0.712%
Edge +0.402%
Kelly +0.925%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%56.81%56.99%58.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.681.671.7761.35%59.48%59.88%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit)

Prediction 43.10%2.32fair odd
EV -0.869%
Edge -0.378%
Kelly -0.669%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.48%43.19%43.01%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.3048.78%45.38%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Calgary Stampeders (Local): 56.90%; Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit): 43.10%. For Calgary Stampeders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.712%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.712%E +0.402%K +0.925%G +0.007%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -9.49%E -4.52%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 18:45
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 06:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:50
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:50
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:50
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:49
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.70%E -1.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.27%E -1.92%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.04%E -2.77%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 19:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.27%E -1.92%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.47%E -2.98%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 19:55
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.84%E -2.27%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 00:10
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.84%E -2.27%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 18:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.84%E -2.27%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 00:05
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.41%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -1.73%E -0.759%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 18:50
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.869%E -0.378%K -0.669%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.869%E -0.378%K -0.669%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.869%E -0.378%K -0.669%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 15:19
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.869%E -0.378%K -0.669%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-28 16:45
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.869%E -0.378%K -0.669%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 12:45
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.869%E -0.378%K -0.669%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 15:19
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 12:50
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 16:25
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 12:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 12:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.49%E -4.52%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 18:55
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 18:50
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.18%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 18:49
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 15:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 00:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.68%E -4.08%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 16:29
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.25%E -4.45%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.869%E -0.378%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 17:14
ReBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -7.25%E -4.45%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -11.64%E -5.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-28 19:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-08-29 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-08-29 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-08-29 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-08-29 17:55