Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Stampeders v Hamilton Tiger-Cats

2026-08-29 19:00 UTC — CFL

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Stampeders (Local)

Prediction 70.14%1.43fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -6.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.60%70.14%70.00%71.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.341.3976.92%74.52%74.63%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit)

Prediction 29.86%3.35fair odd
EV +1.52%
Edge +0.447%
Kelly +0.633%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.27%29.86%30.00%31.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.843.093.053.4035.21%32.38%32.79%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Calgary Stampeders (Local): 70.14%; Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit): 29.86%. For Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.35. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.40, producing a positive expected value of +1.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -6.01%E -4.49%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +1.52%E +0.447%K +0.633%G +0.010%4.0%2026-08-20 18:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.94%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 18:09
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -2.50%E -1.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 17:40
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-20 18:10
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.60%EV -8.82%E -6.78%K -29.39%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 31.40%EV -15.20%E -5.35%K -8.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-20 18:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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