Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Stampeders v Edmonton Elks

Kickoff: 2026-09-07 22:08 UTC

Final: Calgary Stampeders 28–38 Edmonton Elks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Stampeders (Local)

Prediction 52.41%1.91fair odd
EV +2.21%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +2.33%
Growth +0.051%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.61%52.25%52.22%53.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.841.831.9557.47%54.47%54.64%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Edmonton Elks (Visit)

Prediction 47.59%2.10fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.28%47.75%47.78%50.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.971.982.0552.91%50.81%50.51%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Calgary Stampeders (Local): 52.41%; Edmonton Elks (Visit): 47.59%. For Calgary Stampeders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.21%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV +2.21%E +1.13%K +2.33%G +0.051%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -8.64%E -4.50%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-07 22:05
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV +0.636%E +0.331%K +0.692%G +0.004%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -9.59%E -5.05%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV +0.636%E +0.331%K +0.692%G +0.004%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -10.06%E -5.32%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 21:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV +0.636%E +0.331%K +0.692%G +0.004%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -10.06%E -5.32%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 21:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV +0.636%E +0.331%K +0.692%G +0.004%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -10.06%E -5.32%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 21:50
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV +0.636%E +0.331%K +0.692%G +0.004%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -10.06%E -5.32%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 21:50
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV +0.636%E +0.331%K +0.692%G +0.004%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -10.06%E -5.32%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 21:50
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.112%E +0.059%K +0.123%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 21:40
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.112%E +0.059%K +0.123%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 21:59
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.03%E -1.64%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 22:05
Caesars🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.03%E -1.64%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 22:04
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 08:20
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 22:00
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 22:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 19:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.08%E -2.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 19:04
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 08:19
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 08:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.61%E -2.53%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 21:45
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.65%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.45%E -1.20%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:04
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -5.65%E -3.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 21:35
Betsson🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.45%E -1.20%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 21:50
NordicBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.45%E -1.20%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 21:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.45%E -1.20%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 16:35
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.23%E -4.08%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.45%E -1.20%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 22:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.27%E -4.73%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 16:35
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%EV -8.27%E -4.73%K -11.03%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -10.06%E -5.32%K -11.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 22:05
Coolbet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -8.80%E -5.06%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -3.88%E -1.92%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 22:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.80%E -5.06%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 21:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 49.50%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50%0.5%2026-09-07 21:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.1%2026-09-07 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.1%2026-09-07 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.1%2026-09-07 22:05