Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Stampeders v BC Lions

2026-08-14 01:00 UTC — CFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Stampeders (Local)

Prediction 72.03%1.39fair odd
EV -4.92%
Edge -3.73%
Kelly -15.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.11%72.03%72.03%72.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.311.321.3278.13%76.53%75.76%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BC Lions (Visit)

Prediction 27.97%3.58fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.67%27.97%27.97%28.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.323.353.4531.75%30.15%29.85%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Calgary Stampeders (Local): 72.03%; BC Lions (Visit): 27.97%. For BC Lions (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.45, with an expected value of -3.51%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.51%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 15:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.30%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -7.80%E -6.09%K -27.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -11.90%E -3.78%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-06 18:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.