Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Stampeders v BC Lions

Kickoff: 2026-08-14 01:08 UTC

Final: Calgary Stampeders 26–30 BC Lions

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Stampeders (Local)

Prediction 61.11%1.64fair odd
EV -0.997%
Edge -0.615%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.70%61.33%61.19%64.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.541.561.6268.97%64.80%64.31%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BC Lions (Visit)

Prediction 38.89%2.57fair odd
EV +3.05%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +1.85%
Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.84%38.67%38.81%40.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.492.452.6542.92%40.15%40.82%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Calgary Stampeders (Local): 61.11%; BC Lions (Visit): 38.89%. For BC Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.05%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.55%E -6.45%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +3.05%E +1.15%K +1.85%G +0.056%5.3%2026-08-14 00:34
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.55%E -6.45%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +3.05%E +1.15%K +1.85%G +0.056%5.3%2026-08-14 00:34
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.55%E -6.45%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +3.05%E +1.15%K +1.85%G +0.056%5.3%2026-08-14 00:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.55%E -6.45%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +3.05%E +1.15%K +1.85%G +0.056%5.3%2026-08-14 00:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.55%E -6.45%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +3.05%E +1.15%K +1.85%G +0.056%5.3%2026-08-14 00:34
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.55%E -6.45%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +3.05%E +1.15%K +1.85%G +0.056%5.3%2026-08-14 00:34
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.55%E -6.45%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +3.05%E +1.15%K +1.85%G +0.056%5.3%2026-08-14 00:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -8.33%E -5.55%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV +1.50%E +0.573%K +0.929%G +0.014%5.0%2026-08-13 17:28
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.33%E -5.55%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +1.11%E +0.426%K +0.691%G +0.008%5.1%2026-08-13 17:24
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.838%E -0.329%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 00:58
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.838%E -0.329%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 01:04
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.838%E -0.329%K -0.541%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 00:59
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.83%E -1.78%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 01:04
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-13 23:54
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.89%E -3.82%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 23:14
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.33%E -5.55%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 23:09
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.83%E -1.78%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-13 23:54
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 23:48
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 23:09
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 23:09
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 00:54
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -11.39%E -7.85%K -25.30%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.28%EV -5.12%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-13 17:29
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -0.997%E -0.615%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 01:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -0.997%E -0.615%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 01:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -0.997%E -0.615%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 01:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.83%E -1.78%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 23:54
Betway🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.83%E -1.78%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 23:54
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.44%E -2.18%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 23:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 23:49
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.44%E -2.18%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 00:54
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.44%E -2.18%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 23:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 23:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 23:54
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -9.39%E -4.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 01:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-08-14 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-08-14 01:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-08-14 01:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-08-14 01:04