The School of Odds
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BC Lions v Winnipeg Blue Bombers

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 02:12 UTC

Final: BC Lions 10–34 Winnipeg Blue Bombers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BC Lions (Local)

Prediction 25.73%3.89fair odd
EV +10.63%
Edge +2.47%
Kelly +3.22%
Growth +0.343%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.24%25.51%25.85%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.693.604.3030.30%27.11%27.78%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Visit)

Prediction 74.27%1.35fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -8.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.74%74.49%74.15%77.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.281.291.3183.33%78.22%77.52%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BC Lions (Local): 25.73%; Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Visit): 74.27%. For BC Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +10.63%E +2.47%K +3.22%G +0.343%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -8.65%E -7.03%K -37.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +8.06%E +1.92%K +2.52%G +0.203%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -8.65%E -7.03%K -37.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 21:28
picklebet_au🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +8.06%E +1.92%K +2.52%G +0.203%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -9.39%E -7.70%K -42.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 01:05
BoyleSports🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +5.49%E +1.34%K +1.77%G +0.097%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -9.39%E -7.70%K -42.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-23 21:29
MyBookie.ag🎯4.03I 24.81%NM 23.67%EV +3.68%E +0.914%K +1.22%G +0.045%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -7.16%E -5.73%K -28.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 23:40
Pinnacle🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 24.38%EV +2.14%E +0.539%K +0.721%G +0.015%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.62%EV -4.93%E -3.85%K -17.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-24 01:50
Everygame🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +1.63%E +0.412%K +0.551%G +0.009%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -5.67%E -4.47%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 21:39
LowVig.ag🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV +0.855%E +0.218%K +0.293%G +0.003%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -5.67%E -4.47%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 22:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV +0.855%E +0.218%K +0.293%G +0.003%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -5.67%E -4.47%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 22:15
BetAnything🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +0.340%E +0.087%K +0.117%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.67%E -4.47%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-23 22:10
BetUS🎯3.87I 25.84%NM 24.71%EV -0.432%E -0.112%K -0.150%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.29%EV -5.67%E -4.47%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 21:19
Bovada🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -0.946%E -0.246%K -0.332%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.67%E -4.47%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-23 23:40
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -0.946%E -0.246%K -0.332%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.67%E -4.47%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-23 13:16
LeoVegas🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -0.946%E -0.246%K -0.332%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -10.87%E -9.06%K -54.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-23 21:40
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.23%E -0.588%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.93%E -3.85%K -17.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-23 21:25
ReBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -3.52%E -0.938%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -10.87%E -9.06%K -54.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-23 21:30
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.19%E -3.25%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 01:30
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.19%E -3.25%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-23 07:04
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -7.38%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.70%E -2.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 14:42
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.70%E -2.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-23 21:30
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.45%E -2.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-23 21:25
Dabble (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.45%E -2.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-23 22:50
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.95%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.19%E -3.25%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-23 21:30
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -11.24%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -2.70%E -2.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 21:29
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.24%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.45%E -2.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 01:35
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.24%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.45%E -2.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 01:35
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.24%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.45%E -2.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 01:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.24%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.45%E -2.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.24%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.45%E -2.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 01:35
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.24%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.45%E -2.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 01:35
Bally Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.24%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.45%E -2.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 01:34
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.24%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.45%E -2.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 14:43
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.24%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.45%E -2.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 14:43
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -12.52%E -3.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.70%E -2.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-23 07:05
Betsson🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -12.52%E -3.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.45%E -2.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-23 21:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.52%E -3.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.19%E -3.25%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 21:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.10%E -4.57%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.45%E -2.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 21:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%1.9%2026-10-24 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%1.9%2026-10-24 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%1.9%2026-10-24 01:00
ProphetX◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%2.5%2026-10-24 01:55