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BC Lions v Toronto Argonauts
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
BC Lions (Local)
Prediction 37.64%2.66fair odd
EV +1.62%
Edge +0.601%
Kelly +0.955%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.56%37.61%37.61%39.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.512.502.7041.67%39.91%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toronto Argonauts (Visit)
Prediction 62.36%1.60fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.930%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.30%62.39%62.39%64.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.531.541.5868.49%65.25%64.94%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BC Lions (Local): 37.64%; Toronto Argonauts (Visit): 62.36%. For BC Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +1.62%E +0.601%K +0.955%G +0.016% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -7.08%E -4.75%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-25 22:48 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -0.258%E -0.097%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -0.634%E -0.240%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -6.46%E -4.31%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-25 22:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.39%E -0.529%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.76%E -0.676%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.76%E -0.676%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.76%E -0.676%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.14%E -0.823%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.14%E -0.823%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-25 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.14%E -0.823%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.46%E -4.31%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -4.02%E -1.58%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.09%E -1.33%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-25 20:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.02%E -1.58%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.72%E -1.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-25 22:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -4.40%E -1.73%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.21%E -3.43%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-25 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.90%E -2.36%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.09%E -1.33%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.90%E -2.36%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-25 20:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.90%E -2.36%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-25 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.90%E -2.36%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.90%E -2.36%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.90%E -2.36%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.90%E -2.36%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.36%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.46%E -4.31%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.79%E -3.18%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.72%E -1.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.79%E -3.18%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.34%E -2.15%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-25 20:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.79%E -3.18%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.34%E -2.15%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-25 20:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.18%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.46%E -4.31%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.54%E -3.51%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.72%E -1.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-25 20:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -8.54%E -3.51%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -8.91%E -3.68%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -3.34%E -2.15%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -8.91%E -3.68%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -3.34%E -2.15%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.63%EV -8.91%E -3.68%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.37%EV -8.95%E -6.13%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.67%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.47%E -0.930%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-25 22:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.67%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.09%E -1.33%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.67%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.34%E -2.15%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.67%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-25 22:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.67%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-25 22:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.67%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.08%E -4.75%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20% | 3.8% | 2026-07-25 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30% | 11.7% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30% | 11.7% | 2026-07-25 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30% | 11.7% | 2026-07-25 23:04 |