The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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BC Lions v Ottawa Redblacks

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC

Final: BC Lions 41–20 Ottawa Redblacks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BC Lions (Local)

Prediction 83.69%1.19fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -3.27%
Kelly -25.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.70%83.81%83.58%85.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.131.1590.91%88.33%88.11%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ottawa Redblacks (Visit)

Prediction 16.31%6.13fair odd
EV +6.04%
Edge +0.929%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.066%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.70%16.19%16.42%19.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.685.756.5021.74%17.60%17.39%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BC Lions (Local): 83.69%; Ottawa Redblacks (Visit): 16.31%. For Ottawa Redblacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.13. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.27%E -5.60%K -52.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +6.04%E +0.929%K +1.10%G +0.066%4.7%2026-10-05 12:35
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.27%E -5.60%K -52.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +1.96%E +0.314%K +0.374%G +0.007%5.3%2026-10-05 14:10
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.60%E -4.03%K -32.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.12%E -0.353%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-05 13:59
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.60%E -4.03%K -32.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.12%E -0.353%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-05 14:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.60%E -4.03%K -32.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.38%E -0.927%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 14:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.60%E -4.03%K -32.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.19%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.60%E -4.03%K -32.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.19%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 14:05
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.81%K -41.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.19%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-05 14:20
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.43%E -4.81%K -41.81%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -7.83%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-05 14:00
betfred_uk🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.76%E -3.27%K -25.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.43%E -4.81%K -41.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-05 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.27%E -5.60%K -52.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -18.43%E -3.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-05 14:55
ReBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 80.70%EV -7.95%E -7.22%K -79.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -24.96%E -5.43%K -6.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-05 14:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.