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BC Lions v Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
BC Lions (Local)
Prediction 77.71%1.29fair odd
EV +5.68%
Edge +4.18%
Kelly +15.78%
Growth +0.896%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.93%77.83%77.78%81.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.241.221.3686.21%80.65%81.97%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit)
Prediction 22.29%4.49fair odd
EV +15.93%
Edge +3.06%
Kelly +3.79%
Growth +0.604%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.24%22.17%22.22%31.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.954.044.205.2033.90%24.76%23.81%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BC Lions (Local): 77.71%; Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit): 22.29%. For Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.49. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV +5.68%E +4.18%K +15.78%G +0.896% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -30.89%E -9.96%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 23:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV +5.68%E +4.18%K +15.78%G +0.896% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -30.89%E -9.96%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV +5.68%E +4.18%K +15.78%G +0.896% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -30.89%E -9.96%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 23:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV +5.68%E +4.18%K +15.78%G +0.896% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -30.89%E -9.96%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 23:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV +4.90%E +3.63%K +14.01%G +0.687% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -33.12%E -11.04%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 23:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV +3.35%E +2.52%K +10.15%G +0.340% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -34.23%E -11.60%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 23:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -1.31%E -1.03%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -21.97%E -6.28%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 23:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -2.09%E -1.66%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -10.82%E -2.71%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.87%E -2.29%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.28%E -4.02%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 23:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.90%EV -3.65%E -2.94%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 22.10%EV -2.57%E -0.589%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-08 22:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.65%E -2.94%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.25%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.65%E -2.94%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -15.28%E -4.02%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.42%E -3.60%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -8.59%E -2.10%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -4.42%E -3.60%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -9.71%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 23:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.13%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 22:38 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.25%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 20:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.25%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 20:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.20%E -4.26%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.82%E -2.71%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -5.98%E -4.94%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV +3.45%E +0.743%K +0.947%G +0.033% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -5.98%E -4.94%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV +3.45%E +0.743%K +0.947%G +0.033% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%EV -5.98%E -4.94%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%EV +1.44%E +0.317%K +0.406%G +0.006% | 4.6% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.98%E -4.94%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.326%E +0.072%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.98%E -4.94%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.13%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 23:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.98%E -4.94%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.75%E -5.63%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +5.90%E +1.24%K +1.57%G +0.093% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.75%E -5.63%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.326%E +0.072%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 23:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.75%E -5.63%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.25%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 23:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.75%E -5.63%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.75%E -5.63%K -33.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 23:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -7.53%E -6.33%K -39.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -14.17%E -3.68%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 22:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -8.31%E -7.04%K -46.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.59%E -2.10%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -9.08%E -7.76%K -53.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -1.90%E -0.433%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 23:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -9.86%E -8.50%K -61.64%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +15.93%E +3.06%K +3.79%G +0.604% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 21:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 23:10 |
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