Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

BC Lions v Edmonton Elks

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 21:00 UTC

Final: BC Lions 16–34 Edmonton Elks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

47%

53%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BC Lions (Local)

Prediction 47.19%2.12fair odd

EV +0.034%

Edge +0.016%

Kelly +0.030%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.44%48.05%47.19%53.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.792.022.102.1255.87%49.42%47.62%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Edmonton Elks (Visit)

Prediction 52.81%1.89fair odd

EV +8.27%

Edge +4.03%

Kelly +7.88%

Growth +0.651%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.61%51.95%52.81%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.681.791.702.0559.52%55.97%58.82%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BC Lions (Local): 47.19%; Edmonton Elks (Visit): 52.81%. For Edmonton Elks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -15.54%E -8.68%K -19.67%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV +8.27%E +4.03%K +7.88%G +0.651%	4.6%	2026-05-21 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -9.88%E -5.17%K -10.85%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV +0.347%E +0.183%K +0.386%G +0.001%	5.0%	2026-05-23 14:39
Betsson🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV +0.034%E +0.016%K +0.030%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -10.22%E -6.01%K -14.59%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-23 11:39
NordicBet🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV +0.034%E +0.016%K +0.030%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -10.22%E -6.01%K -14.59%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-23 11:38
Betr (AU)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -0.910%E -0.433%K -0.827%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -10.74%E -6.36%K -15.57%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-23 11:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -0.910%E -0.433%K -0.827%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -11.27%E -6.71%K -16.58%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-23 11:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.