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BC Lions v Edmonton Elks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
BC Lions (Local)
Prediction 49.57%2.02fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.43%49.52%49.60%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.911.901.9754.64%52.47%52.63%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Edmonton Elks (Visit)
Prediction 50.43%1.98fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.590%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.48%50.40%51.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.891.9655.56%53.07%52.91%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BC Lions (Local): 49.57%; Edmonton Elks (Visit): 50.43%. For Edmonton Elks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.98. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.96, with an expected value of -1.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.35%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 20:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -2.84%E -1.45%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -6.20%E -3.33%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 20:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -2.84%E -1.45%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -6.20%E -3.33%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 20:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 20:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.83%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-04 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.69%E -2.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 20:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 22:58 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -1.16%E -0.590%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-04 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 22:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.32%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 23:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.34%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.34%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.34%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.66%E -0.852%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.30%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.82% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.14% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.86% | 13.7% | 2026-07-04 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.14% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.86% | 13.7% | 2026-07-04 23:05 |