Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Sonay Kartal v Belinda Bencic

2026-10-14 04:00 UTC — WTA Wuhan Open

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Sonay Kartal (Local)

Predicción 36.62%2.73momio equitativo
EV -0.036%
Ventaja -0.013%
Kelly -0.021%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.22%36.62%36.59%37.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.572.602.7341.67%38.88%38.46%36.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Belinda Bencic (Visitante)

Predicción 63.38%1.58momio equitativo
EV -3.02%
Ventaja -1.98%
Kelly -5.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.50%63.38%63.41%65.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.481.501.5370.42%67.43%66.67%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Sonay Kartal (Local): 36.62%; Belinda Bencic (Visitante): 63.38%. Para Sonay Kartal (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.731. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.730, con un valor esperado de -0.036%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
SportsBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.22%EV -0.036%E -0.013%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.78%EV -10.00%E -7.04%K -23.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-12 09:19
FanDuel🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -0.402%E -0.148%K -0.234%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -6.19%E -4.18%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 09:19
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.13%E -0.420%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-12 09:20
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.06%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 09:19
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 09:19
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 09:20
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 09:19
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 09:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 09:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 09:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 12:04
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 12:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 12:05
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 12:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 12:05
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 12:05
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 12:09
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 12:09
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 12:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 12:10
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 12:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 12:19
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 13:44
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 13:45
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 13:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.56%E -3.73%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 09:20
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.19%E -4.18%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-12 10:33
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.19%E -4.18%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-12 13:44
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.53%E -2.14%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.02%E -1.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-12 12:13
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -5.53%E -2.14%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.83%E -4.64%K -14.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-12 09:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-12 11:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -6.99%E -2.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.46%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 10:29
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.46%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.93%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 10:30
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.46%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.19%E -4.18%K -12.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-12 13:45
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.46%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.83%E -4.64%K -14.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-12 11:30
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.46%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-12 10:43
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.46%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-12 10:30
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.46%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-12 10:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.57%EV -9.19%E -3.71%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.43%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-12 12:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.29%E -4.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-12 09:18
ReBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.29%E -4.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-12 09:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -12.12%E -5.05%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-12 09:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -12.12%E -5.05%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -10.00%E -7.04%K -23.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-12 09:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56%6.1%2026-10-12 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56%6.1%2026-10-12 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56%6.1%2026-10-12 12:30
Novig◎2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%7.4%2026-10-12 14:30
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%10.6%2026-10-12 14:30