Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Janice Tjen v Daria Snigur

2026-10-14 06:00 UTC — WTA Wuhan Open

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (19 en el análisis )

42%

58%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Janice Tjen (Local)

Predicción 41.57%2.41momio equitativo

EV +1.84%

Ventaja +0.749%

Kelly +1.27%

Crecimiento +0.023%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

38.75%41.57%41.35%43.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.052.312.292.4548.78%43.38%43.57%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Daria Snigur (Visitante)

Predicción 58.43%1.71momio equitativo

EV -3.00%

Ventaja -1.81%

Kelly -4.54%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

56.63%58.43%58.65%61.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.491.591.601.6667.11%62.77%62.50%60.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Janice Tjen (Local): 41.57%; Daria Snigur (Visitante): 58.43%. Para Janice Tjen (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.41. 14 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.45, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.84%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +1.84%E +0.749%K +1.27%G +0.023%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -9.43%E -6.08%K -17.14%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-13 11:40
Casumo🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +1.84%E +0.749%K +1.27%G +0.023%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -9.43%E -6.08%K -17.14%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-13 11:39
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +1.84%E +0.749%K +1.27%G +0.023%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -9.43%E -6.08%K -17.14%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-13 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +1.84%E +0.749%K +1.27%G +0.023%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -9.43%E -6.08%K -17.14%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-13 11:39
Unibet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +1.84%E +0.749%K +1.27%G +0.023%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -9.43%E -6.08%K -17.14%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-13 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +1.84%E +0.749%K +1.27%G +0.023%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -9.43%E -6.08%K -17.14%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-13 11:40
Grosvenor🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +1.84%E +0.749%K +1.27%G +0.023%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -9.43%E -6.08%K -17.14%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-13 11:40
BetRivers🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +1.84%E +0.749%K +1.27%G +0.023%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -9.43%E -6.08%K -17.14%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-13 11:40
TABtouch🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +1.84%E +0.749%K +1.27%G +0.023%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -9.43%E -6.08%K -17.14%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-13 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +1.84%E +0.749%K +1.27%G +0.023%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -9.43%E -6.08%K -17.14%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-13 11:39
betPARX🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +1.84%E +0.749%K +1.27%G +0.023%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -9.43%E -6.08%K -17.14%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-13 11:39
Svenska Spel🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +1.84%E +0.749%K +1.27%G +0.023%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -9.43%E -6.08%K -17.14%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-13 11:39
ATG (SE)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +1.84%E +0.749%K +1.27%G +0.023%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -9.43%E -6.08%K -17.14%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-13 11:39
Bally Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +1.84%E +0.749%K +1.27%G +0.023%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -9.43%E -6.08%K -17.14%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-13 11:39
1xBet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.32%E -0.988%K -1.72%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.34%E -3.29%K -8.61%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-13 13:04
PMU (FR)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -2.32%E -0.988%K -1.72%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -12.93%E -8.68%K -26.39%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-10-13 11:39
Pinnacle🎯	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.74%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.58%E -2.17%K -5.51%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-10-13 13:00
Marathon Bet🎯	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -6.50%E -4.07%K -10.84%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-10-13 13:00
DraftKings🎯	2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.98%E -1.72%K -3.04%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.34%E -3.29%K -8.61%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-13 12:49
Fanatics🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.34%E -3.29%K -8.61%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-13 12:49
Coolbet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.34%E -3.29%K -8.61%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-13 12:50
William Hill🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.34%E -3.29%K -8.61%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-13 12:50
888sport🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-10-13 12:49
BetMGM🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-10-13 13:00
Betway🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.50%E -4.07%K -10.84%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-10-13 12:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.81%E -2.10%K -3.73%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.34%E -3.29%K -8.61%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-13 12:49
FanDuel🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.23%E -2.29%K -4.09%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.58%E -2.17%K -5.51%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-10-13 11:34
SportsBet🎯	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.06%E -2.68%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.17%E -2.54%K -6.51%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-13 11:35
PlayUp🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.75%E -2.92%K -7.54%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-13 12:49
Paddy Power🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.34%E -3.29%K -8.61%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-13 11:34
Neds🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.34%E -3.29%K -8.61%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-13 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.34%E -3.29%K -8.61%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-13 13:00
Betr (AU)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-10-13 12:59
theScore Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-10-13 12:59
TAB🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.50%E -4.07%K -10.84%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-13 12:50
betano_uk🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.26%E -5.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-10-13 12:58
Bet Victor🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.26%E -5.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-10-13 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.26%E -5.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-10-13 13:00
Coral🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.26%E -5.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-10-13 13:00
Betsson🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -6.89%E -3.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -3.00%E -1.81%K -4.54%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-13 11:34
NordicBet🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -6.89%E -3.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -3.00%E -1.81%K -4.54%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-13 11:34
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -8.14%E -3.68%K -6.73%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.54%K -6.51%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-13 11:34
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.17%E -2.54%K -6.51%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-10-13 11:34
BoyleSports🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.34%E -3.29%K -8.61%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-10-13 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.50%E -4.07%K -10.84%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-10-13 11:44
LeoVegas🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -9.39%E -4.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.34%E -3.29%K -8.61%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-10-13 11:34
ReBet🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -9.80%E -4.52%K -8.38%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -5.34%E -3.29%K -8.61%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-10-13 11:34
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%EV -11.88%E -5.60%K -10.61%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 57.14%EV -7.09%E -4.46%K -12.02%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-10-13 11:33
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -12.71%E -6.05%K -11.56%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -7.67%E -4.86%K -13.23%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-10-13 11:34
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.37%EV -14.79%E -7.21%K -14.09%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 56.63%EV -8.26%E -5.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%	12.5%	2026-10-13 11:34

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%	1.5%	2026-10-13 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%	1.5%	2026-10-13 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%	1.5%	2026-10-13 13:00
Novig◎	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%	1.9%	2026-10-13 13:00