La escuela de los momios

Xinyu Wang v Elisabetta Cocciaretto

Inicio: 2026-06-29 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Xinyu Wang (Local)

Predicción 57.18%1.75momio equitativo
EV -1.08%
Ventaja -0.626%
Kelly -1.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.83%57.11%57.14%58.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.641.651.7364.10%60.86%60.61%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Visitante)

Predicción 42.82%2.34momio equitativo
EV +0.633%
Ventaja +0.269%
Kelly +0.469%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.10%42.89%42.86%45.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.222.202.3547.62%45.14%45.45%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -3.94%E -2.35%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV +0.633%E +0.269%K +0.469%G +0.003%2.1%2026-06-29 11:44
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.51%E -0.656%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 11:39
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.37%E -4.55%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.51%E -0.656%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:10
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.94%E -4.93%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.51%E -0.656%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 11:49
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.94%E -4.93%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.51%E -0.656%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 11:49
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.94%E -4.93%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.51%E -0.656%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 11:50
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.94%E -4.93%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.51%E -0.656%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 11:48
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.94%E -4.93%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.51%E -0.656%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 11:49
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.94%E -4.93%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.51%E -0.656%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 11:50
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.94%E -4.93%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.51%E -0.656%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 11:49
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -1.94%E -0.845%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-29 11:39
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -8.52%E -5.32%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -2.36%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 11:49
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -8.52%E -5.32%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -2.36%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 11:49
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.94%E -2.35%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.65%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 10:30
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.94%E -2.35%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.65%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 04:20
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.94%E -2.35%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.65%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 11:40
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.65%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.23%E -3.80%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.65%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 20:49
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.23%E -3.80%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.65%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 21:09
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.37%E -4.55%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.65%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 10:29
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -9.66%E -6.11%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -3.65%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 11:49
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -9.66%E -6.11%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -3.65%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 11:50
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.23%E -6.52%K -17.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.65%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 11:50
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.23%E -6.52%K -17.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.65%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -10.80%E -6.93%K -19.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.51%E -2.02%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-29 11:49
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -10.80%E -6.93%K -19.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.51%E -2.02%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-29 11:50
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -4.93%E -2.22%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:50
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.37%E -1.99%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 11:49
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.94%E -2.35%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 11:49
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:29
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:49
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 07:59
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 10:27
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 13:49
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 22:49
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.09%E -3.06%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 11:39
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 08:09
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 07:59
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 11:49
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.23%E -3.80%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 11:39
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.37%E -4.55%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 11:48
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.94%E -4.93%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 07:58
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -6.22%E -2.84%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 11:40
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -6.22%E -2.84%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 11:39
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.80%E -1.65%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.65%E -3.05%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 11:50
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.37%E -1.99%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -7.07%E -3.26%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 11:49
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.94%E -2.35%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 11:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 11:50
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 11:50
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 11:50
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 11:49
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.94%E -4.93%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 11:50
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.52%E -5.32%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 11:48
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.08%E -0.626%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 14:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.08%E -0.626%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 11:50
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 11:49
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 11:50
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 11:49
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 11:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-06-29 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-06-29 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-06-29 11:50
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-06-29 11:50
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-06-29 11:50
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-06-29 11:50
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%3.6%2026-06-29 11:50