La escuela de los momios

Serena Williams v Maya Joint

Inicio: 2026-06-30 18:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Serena Williams (Local)

Predicción 48.55%2.06momio equitativo
EV -1.93%
Ventaja -0.955%
Kelly -1.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.84%48.54%48.68%51.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.961.952.0254.64%51.08%51.28%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Maya Joint (Visitante)

Predicción 51.45%1.94momio equitativo
EV -0.701%
Ventaja -0.363%
Kelly -0.753%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.93%51.46%51.32%53.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.841.831.9356.18%54.47%54.64%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.93%E -0.955%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.36%E -3.49%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 18:20
DraftKings2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -1.93%E -0.955%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -8.42%E -4.73%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 17:40
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -2.90%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.30%E -2.31%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 18:19
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.90%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.82%E -2.60%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 18:19
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.90%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.82%E -2.60%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 18:19
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.90%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.82%E -2.60%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 18:20
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -2.90%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -5.33%E -2.90%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 18:18
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.90%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.85%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 17:39
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.90%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.87%E -3.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:40
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.90%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.87%E -3.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.90%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.87%E -3.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:40
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.90%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.87%E -3.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:39
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.90%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.87%E -3.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:40
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.90%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.87%E -3.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:39
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.90%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.87%E -3.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:40
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.90%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.87%E -3.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:39
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.90%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.87%E -3.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:39
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.90%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.87%E -3.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:39
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.90%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.87%E -3.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:39
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.90%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.87%E -3.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:38
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.90%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.87%E -3.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:40
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.90%E -1.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.39%E -4.11%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 17:39
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.36%E -3.49%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -4.36%E -2.21%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -7.90%E -4.42%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 17:39
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -4.36%E -2.21%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -7.90%E -4.42%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 17:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.84%E -2.47%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.85%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 17:39
Neds1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.84%E -2.47%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.85%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 17:39
MyBookie.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.84%E -2.47%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.36%E -3.49%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 18:19
Betsson1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.84%E -2.47%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -7.39%E -4.11%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 18:20
NordicBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.84%E -2.47%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -7.39%E -4.11%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 18:19
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.79%E -2.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 18:18
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.79%E -2.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 18:20
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.79%E -2.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 17:39
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.79%E -2.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 18:20
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.82%E -2.60%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 18:09
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.82%E -2.60%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 18:19
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.82%E -2.60%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 17:39
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.82%E -2.60%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 18:10
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.82%E -2.60%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 18:09
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.85%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 17:40
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.36%E -3.49%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 18:20
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.39%E -4.11%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 17:37
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.39%E -4.11%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 17:59
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -8.42%E -4.73%K -10.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 17:40
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -1.73%E -0.906%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 18:20
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.79%E -2.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 18:19
PointsBet (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.82%E -2.60%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 18:20
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.82%E -2.60%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 18:20
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.78%E -3.53%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.27%E -1.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 18:19
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -0.701%E -0.363%K -0.753%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 18:19
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.73%E -0.906%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 18:19
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.73%E -0.906%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 18:20
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.73%E -0.906%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 18:19
NetBet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.85%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 18:20
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.39%E -4.11%K -9.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.39%E -4.11%K -9.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 17:39
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.39%E -4.11%K -9.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 17:40
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.39%E -4.11%K -9.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.76%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.79%E -2.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 18:19
Everygame1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.73%E -4.64%K -9.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 18:09
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.21%E -4.93%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.79%E -2.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 18:20
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.15%E -6.10%K -13.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.73%E -0.906%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 18:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-06-30 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-06-30 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-06-30 18:20
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-06-30 18:20
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-06-30 18:19
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.5%2026-06-30 18:20
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%2.0%2026-06-30 18:20