La escuela de los momios

Peyton Stearns v Nikola Bartunkova

Inicio: 2026-06-29 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Peyton Stearns (Local)

Predicción 32.11%3.11momio equitativo
EV -0.450%
Ventaja -0.145%
Kelly -0.214%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.49%32.11%32.18%33.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.942.953.1036.36%34.02%33.96%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Nikola Bartunkova (Visitante)

Predicción 67.89%1.47momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -1.56%
Kelly -5.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.43%67.89%67.82%69.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.391.401.4474.63%71.88%71.43%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.450%E -0.145%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 15:10
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.450%E -0.145%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 15:10
Pinnacle3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -1.41%E -0.461%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 15:11
SportsBet3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -1.41%E -0.461%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 15:30
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.06%E -0.674%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.64%E -4.06%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 15:20
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.06%E -0.674%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:30
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -2.92%E -2.04%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-29 15:30
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 15:10
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 15:10
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 15:20
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 15:10
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 15:20
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 15:20
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 15:10
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 15:11
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 15:29
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.99%E -5.11%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.99%E -5.11%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 15:30
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.66%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 15:10
Marathon Bet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -4.30%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.64%E -4.06%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 15:09
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.27%E -1.79%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.60%E -2.54%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 15:30
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.27%E -1.79%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:30
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.27%E -1.79%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:30
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.27%E -1.79%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:30
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.27%E -1.79%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:30
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.27%E -1.79%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:30
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.27%E -1.79%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:30
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.27%E -1.79%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:30
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.27%E -1.79%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:30
MyBookie.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.27%E -1.79%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:10
DraftKings2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.59%E -1.90%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 15:30
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.60%E -2.54%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 15:30
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.28%E -3.03%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 15:30
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 15:10
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 15:10
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 15:10
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 15:10
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 15:10
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 15:10
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 15:10
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 15:05
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 15:30
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 15:30
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -6.87%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -9.03%E -6.74%K -26.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 15:30
NordicBet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -7.19%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -5.64%E -4.06%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 15:30
Betsson2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -7.19%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -5.64%E -4.06%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.52%E -2.61%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 15:10
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.52%E -2.61%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 15:30
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.52%E -2.61%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 15:30
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.52%E -2.61%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-29 15:30
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.52%E -2.61%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 15:10
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.52%E -2.61%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 15:30
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.84%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 15:10
Dabble (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.48%E -2.97%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.24%E -1.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.48%E -2.97%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.60%E -2.54%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 15:10
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.48%E -2.97%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.60%E -2.54%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 15:10
theScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.48%E -2.97%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.60%E -2.54%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 15:30
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.48%E -2.97%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.48%E -2.97%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 15:30
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -11.69%E -4.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-29 15:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-06-29 15:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-06-29 15:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-06-29 15:31
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-06-29 15:30
ProphetX3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%1.2%2026-06-29 15:31
Novig3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%2.9%2026-06-29 15:30
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%3.2%2026-06-29 15:31