L’École des cotes

Oksana Selekhmeteva v Sinja Kraus

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Oksana Selekhmeteva (Local)

Prévision 47.14%2.12cote équitable
EV +1.36%
Avantage +0.632%
Kelly +1.18%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.59%46.98%47.24%49.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.892.012.002.1552.91%49.85%50.00%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sinja Kraus (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.86%1.89cote équitable
EV -0.631%
Avantage -0.335%
Kelly -0.717%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.13%53.02%52.76%55.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.791.801.8858.48%55.90%55.56%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV +1.36%E +0.632%K +1.18%G +0.016%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -8.56%E -4.95%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 15:09
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.79%EV -2.41%E -1.17%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.21%EV -3.80%E -2.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 15:02
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.41%E -1.17%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -5.39%E -3.01%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 15:09
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.41%E -1.17%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.97%E -3.96%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 15:07
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.41%E -1.17%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.97%E -3.96%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 15:07
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -3.35%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.74%E -1.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 15:09
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -3.35%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.80%E -2.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 15:09
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.35%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 15:09
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.35%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.44%E -3.64%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:09
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.35%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.44%E -3.64%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:09
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.35%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.50%E -4.29%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:00
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.35%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.03%E -4.62%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 15:09
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.83%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.33%E -2.39%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 15:09
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.83%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 15:10
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -3.83%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -6.97%E -3.96%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 15:09
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -3.83%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -6.97%E -3.96%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 15:09
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -3.83%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -6.97%E -3.96%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 15:09
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -3.83%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -6.97%E -3.96%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 15:09
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -3.83%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -6.97%E -3.96%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 15:09
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.30%E -2.12%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 15:10
Unibet (UK)2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.30%E -2.12%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 15:10
ReBet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.30%E -2.12%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 15:09
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.80%E -2.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 15:08
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.50%E -4.29%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 15:09
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.50%E -4.29%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 15:09
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.24%E -2.61%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:09
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 15:09
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.80%E -2.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 15:09
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:09
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:10
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:09
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:09
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:09
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:10
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:09
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:09
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.92%E -3.32%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 15:10
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.92%E -3.32%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 15:09
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.03%E -4.62%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 15:09
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.03%E -4.62%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 15:09
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.03%E -4.62%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 15:09
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.71%E -2.86%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.03%E -4.62%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 15:09
Betr (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -6.18%E -3.11%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.39%E -3.01%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:09
MyBookie.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -6.18%E -3.11%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.39%E -3.01%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:08
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -6.18%E -3.11%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.39%E -3.01%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.66%E -3.36%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.80%E -2.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 15:09
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.66%E -3.36%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.80%E -2.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 15:09
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.66%E -3.36%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:09
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.66%E -3.36%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.39%E -3.01%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 15:09
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.66%E -3.36%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.39%E -3.01%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 15:10
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.33%E -2.39%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:08
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -9.09%E -5.28%K -12.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-30 15:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.59%EV -7.60%E -3.88%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.41%EV -9.62%E -5.62%K -13.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 15:09
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.22%E -1.20%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:09
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.22%E -1.20%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:09
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.22%E -1.20%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 15:09
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 15:10
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 15:09
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.50%E -4.29%K -10.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 15:09
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -9.62%E -5.62%K -13.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 15:10
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.96%E -5.21%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 14:59
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -10.90%E -5.77%K -12.24%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -0.631%E -0.335%K -0.717%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%0.2%2026-06-30 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-06-30 15:10
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-06-30 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-06-30 15:10
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%0.6%2026-06-30 15:10
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-06-30 15:09
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%2.3%2026-06-30 15:10