L’École des cotes

Magda Linette v Mirra Andreeva

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-29 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Magda Linette (Local)

Prévision 19.76%5.06cote équitable
EV +2.75%
Avantage +0.529%
Kelly +0.654%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.62%19.99%19.75%22.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.564.505.2025.00%21.95%22.22%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mirra Andreeva (Visiteur)

Prévision 80.24%1.25cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -1.73%
Kelly -9.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.07%80.01%80.25%81.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.191.191.2286.96%83.96%84.03%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +2.75%E +0.529%K +0.654%G +0.018%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -4.51%E -3.79%K -23.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-29 17:20
1xBet5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -0.216%E -0.043%K -0.053%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 17:04
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -1.20%E -0.241%K -0.301%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.51%E -3.79%K -23.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.20%E -0.241%K -0.301%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 17:20
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.20%E -0.241%K -0.301%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 17:20
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.20%E -0.241%K -0.301%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 17:20
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.20%E -0.241%K -0.301%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 17:07
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.20%E -0.241%K -0.301%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.92%E -5.97%K -43.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 17:10
Betclic (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -3.18%E -0.649%K -0.815%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 17:00
Unibet (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.18%E -0.649%K -0.815%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:10
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.18%E -0.649%K -0.815%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:15
Winamax (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -3.18%E -0.649%K -0.815%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -35.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:20
MyBookie.ag4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -4.17%E -0.859%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:19
theScore Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.17%E -0.859%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:20
DraftKings4.82I 20.75%NM 19.80%EV -4.76%E -0.988%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.20%EV -4.51%E -3.79%K -23.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 17:20
BetOnline.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -5.16%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -2.91%E -2.40%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-29 17:20
Pinnacle4.78I 20.92%NM 20.20%EV -5.55%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.80%EV -2.91%E -2.40%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 17:10
NordicBet4.77I 20.96%NM 19.70%EV -5.75%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.30%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:20
Betsson4.77I 20.96%NM 19.70%EV -5.75%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.30%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:20
FanDuel4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.14%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 17:11
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.14%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.51%E -3.79%K -23.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 17:10
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.14%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:17
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.14%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.72%E -6.72%K -51.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 17:20
Mr Green (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.14%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.72%E -6.72%K -51.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 17:20
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.14%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.72%E -6.72%K -51.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 17:20
NetBet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -7.13%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:05
Marathon Bet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.12%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.51%E -3.79%K -23.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:14
BetAnything4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.11%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 17:11
Fliff4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -9.11%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.72%E -6.72%K -51.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-29 17:20
Betr (AU)4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -10.10%E -2.22%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -4.51%E -3.79%K -23.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:11
PlayUp4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.08%E -2.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:21
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.08%E -2.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:10
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.08%E -2.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:11
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.08%E -2.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:09
BetUS4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.08%E -2.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:09
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.08%E -2.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:11
Dabble (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.08%E -2.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:20
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.08%E -2.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:10
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.08%E -2.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.08%E -2.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Coral4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.08%E -2.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:10
betfred_uk4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.08%E -2.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.08%E -2.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -35.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 17:09
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.06%E -2.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 17:10
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -14.44%E -3.34%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 17:08
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -16.02%E -3.77%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.11%E -1.73%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:20
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -17.01%E -4.05%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.11%E -1.73%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:11
Unibet (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -17.01%E -4.05%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.11%E -1.73%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:21
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -17.01%E -4.05%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.11%E -1.73%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Casumo4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -17.01%E -4.05%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.11%E -1.73%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Unibet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -17.01%E -4.05%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.11%E -1.73%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:20
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -17.01%E -4.05%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.11%E -1.73%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Svenska Spel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -17.01%E -4.05%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.11%E -1.73%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:20
betPARX4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -17.01%E -4.05%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.11%E -1.73%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -17.01%E -4.05%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 17:10
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -18.99%E -4.63%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -2.91%E -2.40%K -13.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:20
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -18.99%E -4.63%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -2.91%E -2.40%K -13.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:20
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -18.99%E -4.63%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 17:20
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -18.99%E -4.63%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 17:20
PMU (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -18.99%E -4.63%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 17:20
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -18.99%E -4.63%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 17:21
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -20.96%E -5.24%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -4.51%E -3.79%K -23.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 17:20
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -20.96%E -5.24%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -4.51%E -3.79%K -23.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 17:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Matchbook5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-06-29 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%1.2%2026-06-29 17:20
ProphetX5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00%1.2%2026-06-29 17:20
Smarkets5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82%1.9%2026-06-29 17:20
Novig5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%3.3%2026-06-29 17:20