L’École des cotes

Lois Boisson v Elena Rybakina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 14:21 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Lois Boisson (Local)

Prévision 4.93%20.28cote équitable
EV +102.18%
Avantage +2.49%
Kelly +2.55%
Croissance +2.61%

avec la cote maximale 41.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
2.38%5.06%5.00%8.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
11.0021.5021.0041.009.09%4.65%4.76%2.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elena Rybakina (Visiteur)

Prévision 95.07%1.05cote équitable
EV -3.03%
Avantage -2.97%
Kelly -151.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
91.51%94.94%95.00%97.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.001.011.011.02100.00%98.87%99.01%98.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Sky Bet41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +102.18%E +2.49%K +2.55%G +2.61%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.93%E -4.93%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-30 14:19
theScore Bet41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +102.18%E +2.49%K +2.55%G +2.61%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.93%E -4.93%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-30 14:19
Paddy Power34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +67.66%E +1.99%K +2.05%G +1.39%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -4.93%E -4.93%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 14:20
DraftKings29.00I 3.45%NM 3.40%EV +43.00%E +1.48%K +1.54%G +0.660%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.60%EV -3.03%E -2.97%K -151.49%G +0.000%1.5%2026-06-30 14:19
William Hill29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +43.00%E +1.48%K +1.54%G +0.660%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-30 14:09
Bovada29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +43.00%E +1.48%K +1.54%G +0.660%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -4.93%E -4.93%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 14:19
Pinnacle28.01I 3.57%NM 3.48%EV +38.12%E +1.36%K +1.41%G +0.538%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.52%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-30 14:20
Dabble (AU)26.00I 3.85%NM 3.77%EV +28.21%E +1.09%K +1.13%G +0.318%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.23%EV -3.03%E -2.97%K -151.49%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-30 14:17
Casumo26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +28.21%E +1.09%K +1.13%G +0.318%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 14:19
PlayUp26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +28.21%E +1.09%K +1.13%G +0.318%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 14:17
Betway26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +28.21%E +1.09%K +1.13%G +0.318%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 14:19
Hard Rock Bet26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +28.21%E +1.09%K +1.13%G +0.318%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 14:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +28.21%E +1.09%K +1.13%G +0.318%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.93%E -4.93%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 14:19
Fanatics26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +28.21%E +1.09%K +1.13%G +0.318%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.93%E -4.93%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 14:19
Coolbet25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +23.28%E +0.931%K +0.970%G +0.226%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-30 14:09
FanDuel23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +13.42%E +0.583%K +0.610%G +0.082%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 14:09
Unibet (SE)23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +13.42%E +0.583%K +0.610%G +0.082%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 14:19
Unibet (NL)23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +13.42%E +0.583%K +0.610%G +0.082%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 14:19
Unibet23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +13.42%E +0.583%K +0.610%G +0.082%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 14:19
Svenska Spel23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +13.42%E +0.583%K +0.610%G +0.082%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 14:19
ATG (SE)23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +13.42%E +0.583%K +0.610%G +0.082%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 14:19
betPARX23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +13.42%E +0.583%K +0.610%G +0.082%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-30 14:19
BoyleSports21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +3.55%E +0.169%K +0.178%G +0.006%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.03%E -2.97%K -151.49%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-30 14:19
Betclic (FR)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +3.55%E +0.169%K +0.178%G +0.006%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.03%E -2.97%K -151.49%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-30 14:20
SportsBet21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +3.55%E +0.169%K +0.178%G +0.006%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 14:09
Neds21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +3.55%E +0.169%K +0.178%G +0.006%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +3.55%E +0.169%K +0.178%G +0.006%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 14:10
ReBet21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +3.55%E +0.169%K +0.178%G +0.006%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 14:10
BetMGM20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV -1.38%E -0.069%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 14:19
Unibet (FR)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV -1.38%E -0.069%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 14:09
TABtouch19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -6.31%E -0.332%K -0.350%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.03%E -2.97%K -151.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 14:10
BetRivers19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -6.31%E -0.332%K -0.350%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.03%E -2.97%K -151.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 14:10
Grosvenor19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -6.31%E -0.332%K -0.350%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.03%E -2.97%K -151.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -6.31%E -0.332%K -0.350%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.03%E -2.97%K -151.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 14:09
LeoVegas19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -6.31%E -0.332%K -0.350%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.03%E -2.97%K -151.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 14:09
Bally Bet19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -6.31%E -0.332%K -0.350%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.03%E -2.97%K -151.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 14:09
PointsBet (AU)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -6.31%E -0.332%K -0.350%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -4.93%E -4.93%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:20
Winamax (FR)18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -11.24%E -0.624%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 14:18
Winamax (DE)18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -11.24%E -0.624%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 14:18
Marathon Bet17.50I 5.71%NM 5.41%EV -13.70%E -0.783%K -0.831%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.59%EV -4.93%E -4.93%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 13:59
1xBet17.40I 5.75%NM 5.49%EV -14.20%E -0.816%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.51%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 14:04
Unibet (UK)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -16.17%E -0.951%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.03%E -2.97%K -151.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 14:17
Coral17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -16.17%E -0.951%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.03%E -2.97%K -151.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -16.17%E -0.951%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.03%E -2.97%K -151.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 14:19
betfred_uk17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -16.17%E -0.951%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.03%E -2.97%K -151.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 14:13
Betsson17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -16.17%E -0.951%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 14:09
NordicBet17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -16.17%E -0.951%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 14:10
BetOnline.ag16.75I 5.97%NM 5.74%EV -17.40%E -1.04%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.26%EV -3.03%E -2.97%K -151.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 14:10
Everygame15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -26.03%E -1.74%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 14:02
MyBookie.ag14.75I 6.78%NM 6.47%EV -27.27%E -1.85%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.53%EV -3.03%E -2.97%K -151.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 14:18
Betr (AU)14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -29.73%E -2.09%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 14:09
NetBet (FR)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -30.96%E -2.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 14:06
Caesars13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -35.89%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.98%E -3.94%K -398.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:17
Bet Victor13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -35.89%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -4.93%E -4.93%K +0.000%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 14:19
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -45.76%E -4.16%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.03%E -2.97%K -151.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 14:18
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%0.5%2026-06-30 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)38.00I 2.63%NM 2.61%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.39%0.7%2026-06-30 14:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%1.0%2026-06-30 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%1.0%2026-06-30 14:20
Smarkets46.08I 2.17%NM 2.14%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.86%1.2%2026-06-30 14:20
Novig26.32I 3.80%NM 3.73%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.27%1.8%2026-06-30 14:18
ProphetX31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%2.2%2026-06-30 14:20