La escuela de los momios

Leylah Fernandez v Janice Tjen

Inicio: 2026-06-29 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Leylah Fernandez (Local)

Predicción 67.28%1.49momio equitativo
EV -0.430%
Ventaja -0.291%
Kelly -0.896%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.18%67.23%67.13%71.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.401.401.4875.19%71.68%71.43%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Janice Tjen (Visitante)

Predicción 32.72%3.06momio equitativo
EV +11.26%
Ventaja +3.31%
Kelly +4.69%
Crecimiento +0.528%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.12%32.77%32.87%36.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.542.882.903.4039.37%34.68%34.48%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -10.52%E -7.91%K -31.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +11.26%E +3.31%K +4.69%G +0.528%4.6%2026-06-29 15:51
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +6.35%E +1.95%K +2.82%G +0.179%4.3%2026-06-29 15:50
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.62%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV +3.41%E +1.08%K +1.58%G +0.054%5.2%2026-06-29 15:50
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +3.08%E +0.977%K +1.43%G +0.044%4.2%2026-06-29 15:50
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.44%E +0.465%K +0.687%G +0.010%5.8%2026-06-29 15:51
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.47%E -3.15%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.83%E -0.610%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 15:11
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.47%E -3.15%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.83%E -0.610%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 15:50
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.83%E -0.610%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.83%E -0.610%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 08:20
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.83%E -0.610%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.83%E -0.610%K -0.915%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 15:50
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.47%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 15:50
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.47%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:50
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.47%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:50
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.47%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:50
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.47%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:50
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.47%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:50
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.47%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:50
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.47%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 15:51
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -3.79%E -1.29%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 15:01
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.79%E -2.65%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 15:50
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.47%E -3.15%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 08:39
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.47%E -3.15%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 08:39
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.47%E -3.15%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 15:50
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 08:39
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 15:50
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 08:10
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 15:46
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 15:50
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 15:50
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:10
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 15:28
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 15:50
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -5.14%E -3.65%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -5.76%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 15:50
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.76%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 08:40
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.76%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 15:50
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.76%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 15:50
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.76%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 15:50
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.47%E -3.15%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 08:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.47%E -3.15%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 08:19
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.47%E -3.15%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 08:20
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 15:50
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 15:50
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 15:51
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -9.18%E -6.80%K -26.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 15:50
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.45%E -1.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 15:50
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 15:50
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 15:50
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -9.85%E -7.35%K -28.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-29 15:50
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.78%E -1.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.36%E -3.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 15:40
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 15:50
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 15:50
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.81%E -4.15%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 15:50
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-29 15:49
Fliff1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -6.49%E -4.67%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 15:50
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -7.16%E -5.19%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-29 15:50
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -2.45%E -1.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -14.27%E -5.44%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 15:50
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -0.430%E -0.291%K -0.896%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -14.92%E -5.74%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -0.430%E -0.291%K -0.896%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -14.92%E -5.74%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 15:50
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.66%EV -8.50%E -6.25%K -23.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.34%EV -14.92%E -5.74%K -9.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-29 15:51
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -0.430%E -0.291%K -0.896%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -16.88%E -6.65%K -10.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 15:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-06-29 15:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-06-29 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-06-29 15:50
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-06-29 15:50
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%2.7%2026-06-29 15:50
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%2.7%2026-06-29 15:51
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%2.9%2026-06-29 15:50