L’École des cotes

Katie Boulter v Tyra Caterina Grant

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Katie Boulter (Local)

Prévision 73.23%1.37cote équitable
EV +2.52%
Avantage +1.80%
Kelly +6.29%
Croissance +0.158%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.49%72.84%73.11%77.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.301.291.4081.97%76.86%77.52%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tyra Caterina Grant (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.77%3.73cote équitable
EV +9.77%
Avantage +2.38%
Kelly +3.15%
Croissance +0.308%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.93%27.16%26.89%31.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.423.454.1033.33%29.22%28.99%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -10.66%E -8.74%K -48.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +9.77%E +2.38%K +3.15%G +0.308%6.4%2026-06-30 10:10
Fanatics1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.74%E -6.14%K -29.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.42%E +1.13%K +1.52%G +0.067%5.0%2026-06-30 10:08
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.54%E -4.29%K -19.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.74%E +0.458%K +0.622%G +0.011%3.8%2026-06-30 10:10
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.00%E -5.51%K -25.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.74%E +0.458%K +0.622%G +0.011%5.1%2026-06-30 10:10
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.00%E -5.51%K -25.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.74%E +0.458%K +0.622%G +0.011%5.1%2026-06-30 10:10
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -9.20%E -7.42%K -38.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV +1.74%E +0.458%K +0.622%G +0.011%7.0%2026-06-30 10:09
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.47%E -6.77%K -33.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.403%E +0.107%K +0.146%G +0.001%6.7%2026-06-30 10:09
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.47%E -6.77%K -33.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.403%E +0.107%K +0.146%G +0.001%6.7%2026-06-30 10:09
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.47%E -6.77%K -33.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.403%E +0.107%K +0.146%G +0.001%6.7%2026-06-30 10:09
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.47%E -6.77%K -33.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.403%E +0.107%K +0.146%G +0.001%6.7%2026-06-30 10:09
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.47%E -6.77%K -33.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.936%E -0.253%K -0.347%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 10:09
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.54%E -4.29%K -19.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.61%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:09
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.54%E -4.29%K -19.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.61%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:09
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.27%E -4.90%K -22.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.61%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 10:10
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.27%E -4.90%K -22.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.61%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 10:10
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.01%EV -8.47%E -6.77%K -33.87%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 25.99%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 74.01%EV -8.47%E -6.77%K -33.87%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 25.99%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.54%E -4.29%K -19.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.95%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 10:09
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.54%E -4.29%K -19.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.95%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 10:09
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.54%E -4.29%K -19.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.95%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 10:09
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.54%E -4.29%K -19.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.95%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 10:09
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:10
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.54%E -4.29%K -19.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:10
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.27%E -4.90%K -22.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 10:09
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.27%E -4.90%K -22.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 10:09
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.00%E -5.51%K -25.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 10:09
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.00%E -5.51%K -25.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 10:09
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.47%E -6.77%K -33.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 10:09
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.47%E -6.77%K -33.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 10:09
Fliff1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.47%E -6.77%K -33.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 10:09
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -7.74%E -6.14%K -29.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.63%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 10:09
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -8.47%E -6.77%K -33.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.63%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 10:09
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -8.47%E -6.77%K -33.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.63%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 10:09
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.61%E -1.96%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 10:08
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.54%E -4.29%K -19.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.27%E -4.90%K -22.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 10:10
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 71.86%EV -3.34%E -2.53%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.14%EV -9.77%E -2.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:10
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.34%E -2.53%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.31%E -3.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 10:10
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 73.14%EV -9.93%E -8.07%K -43.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -10.31%E -3.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 70.94%EV -0.413%E -0.304%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%EV -11.11%E -3.35%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 10:10
BetAnything1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -0.413%E -0.304%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 10:04
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -1.88%E -1.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 10:06
MyBookie.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.848%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.98%E -4.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:08
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.61%E -1.96%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -12.98%E -4.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:00
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -12.98%E -4.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 10:10
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -6.27%E -4.90%K -22.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -12.98%E -4.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-30 10:08
ReBet1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV +0.319%E +0.233%K +0.863%G +0.003%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -14.32%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 09:58
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -0.413%E -0.304%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -14.32%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Dabble (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -1.15%E -0.848%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -14.32%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:06
Betr (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -1.88%E -1.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -14.32%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 10:01
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -2.61%E -1.96%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -14.32%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 09:59
NetBet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.34%E -2.53%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -14.32%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 10:02
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -6.27%E -4.90%K -22.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -14.32%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-30 10:10
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -0.413%E -0.304%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -14.59%E -4.57%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.413%E -0.304%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -15.66%E -4.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:03
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.413%E -0.304%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -15.66%E -4.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:03
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV +2.52%E +1.80%K +6.29%G +0.158%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -16.73%E -5.38%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 10:08
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -0.413%E -0.304%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -17.00%E -5.48%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:06
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -0.413%E -0.304%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -17.00%E -5.48%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:01
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -0.413%E -0.304%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -17.00%E -5.48%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:09
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 69.13%EV +1.05%E +0.762%K +2.77%G +0.029%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.87%EV -17.27%E -5.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:01
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +1.05%E +0.762%K +2.77%G +0.029%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -19.68%E -6.56%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:06
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -0.413%E -0.304%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -19.68%E -6.56%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 10:08
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -1.15%E -0.848%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -19.68%E -6.56%K -9.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 10:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-06-30 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-06-30 10:09
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-06-30 10:09
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%4.1%2026-06-30 10:10
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%6.6%2026-06-30 10:09