La escuela de los momios

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro v Anastasia Potapova

Inicio: 2026-06-29 18:18 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local)

Predicción 43.37%2.31momio equitativo
EV -1.99%
Ventaja -0.881%
Kelly -1.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.26%43.35%43.43%45.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.2650.00%46.58%46.51%44.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Anastasia Potapova (Visitante)

Predicción 56.63%1.77momio equitativo
EV -0.893%
Ventaja -0.510%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.31%56.65%56.57%57.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.691.681.7562.11%59.29%59.52%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -1.99%E -0.881%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 18:10
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.42%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.42%E -3.25%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 18:11
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.42%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.42%E -3.25%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 18:07
DraftKings2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.29%E -1.48%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.12%E -4.34%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 18:10
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.72%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 18:10
Unibet (UK)2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -4.16%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.72%E -2.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 18:10
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -4.16%E -1.88%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -5.99%E -3.61%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 18:09
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 18:11
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.72%E -2.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 18:10
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.72%E -2.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 18:06
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.72%E -2.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 18:10
MyBookie.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.72%E -2.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 18:10
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.29%E -2.54%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 18:11
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 18:10
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.42%E -3.25%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 18:10
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.42%E -3.25%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 18:10
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.42%E -3.25%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 18:09
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.42%E -3.25%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 18:08
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.42%E -3.25%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 18:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.42%E -3.25%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 18:10
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.42%E -3.25%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 18:10
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.56%E -3.97%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 18:04
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.56%E -3.97%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 18:09
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.69%E -4.72%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 18:10
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.82%E -5.48%K -14.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 18:11
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.82%E -5.48%K -14.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 18:11
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.82%E -5.48%K -14.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 18:10
GTbets2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.89%E -2.72%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.72%E -2.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 18:08
NordicBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.89%E -2.72%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -5.99%E -3.61%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:11
Betsson2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.89%E -2.72%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -5.99%E -3.61%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 18:10
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.76%E -3.14%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.29%E -2.54%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 18:10
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.76%E -3.14%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.76%E -3.14%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 18:08
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.76%E -3.14%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 18:08
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.76%E -3.14%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 18:10
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.76%E -3.14%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.42%E -3.25%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 18:10
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.76%E -3.14%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.42%E -3.25%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 18:09
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.76%E -3.14%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.56%E -3.97%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.76%E -3.14%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.56%E -3.97%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 18:10
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.76%E -3.14%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.56%E -3.97%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 18:10
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -8.06%E -3.80%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.46%E -0.839%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 18:08
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -0.893%E -0.510%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 18:10
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.46%E -0.839%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 18:10
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.03%E -1.17%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 18:06
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.25%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 18:05
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.25%E -5.10%K -13.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-29 18:07
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -9.80%E -4.71%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -0.893%E -0.510%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 18:10
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -9.80%E -4.71%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -0.893%E -0.510%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 18:10
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -9.80%E -4.71%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -2.03%E -1.17%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 18:10
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -9.80%E -4.71%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -2.03%E -1.17%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 18:10
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -9.80%E -4.71%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -2.03%E -1.17%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 18:11
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -9.80%E -4.71%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -2.03%E -1.17%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 18:10
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -9.80%E -4.71%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -2.03%E -1.17%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 18:11
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -9.80%E -4.71%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -2.03%E -1.17%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 18:10
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -9.80%E -4.71%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -2.03%E -1.17%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 18:10
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -11.10%E -5.41%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.59%E -1.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 18:11
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -11.10%E -5.41%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.59%E -1.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -11.53%E -5.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 18:10
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -11.53%E -5.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 18:10
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -11.53%E -5.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 18:10
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -11.53%E -5.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 18:10
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -12.40%E -6.14%K -12.16%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -13.27%E -6.63%K -13.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-29 18:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-06-29 18:10
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-06-29 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-06-29 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-06-29 18:10
ProphetX2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-06-29 18:11
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%1.9%2026-06-29 18:10
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.6%2026-06-29 18:10