La escuela de los momios

Diane Parry v Anna Kalinskaya

Inicio: 2026-07-01 13:44 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Diane Parry (Local)

Predicción 37.44%2.67momio equitativo
EV -0.771%
Ventaja -0.291%
Kelly -0.468%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.84%37.47%37.50%39.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.542.552.6542.02%39.34%39.22%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante)

Predicción 62.56%1.60momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -3.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.25%62.53%62.50%64.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.511.501.5769.93%66.41%66.67%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV -0.771%E -0.291%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -2.41%E -1.55%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-01 10:10
BetAnything2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -0.771%E -0.291%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.54%E -3.67%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 13:40
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.771%E -0.291%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.42%E -5.01%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 09:20
DraftKings2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.52%E -0.578%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.42%E -5.01%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 13:40
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.52%E -0.578%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.42%E -5.01%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:20
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.52%E -0.578%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.42%E -5.01%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:19
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.52%E -0.578%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.42%E -5.01%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:19
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.52%E -0.578%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.42%E -5.01%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:20
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.52%E -0.578%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.42%E -5.01%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:19
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.52%E -0.578%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.42%E -5.01%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 11:00
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.52%E -0.578%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.42%E -5.01%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:19
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.52%E -0.578%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.42%E -5.01%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:20
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.52%E -0.578%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.42%E -5.01%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:19
Pinnacle2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -1.89%E -0.723%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -2.41%E -1.55%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 12:40
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.64%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.92%E -3.23%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 13:40
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.64%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.92%E -3.23%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 13:40
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.64%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.54%E -3.67%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 13:36
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.64%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.42%E -5.01%K -15.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 13:37
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.64%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.42%E -5.01%K -15.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 13:37
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.64%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.42%E -5.01%K -15.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:19
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.64%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.04%E -5.47%K -17.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 09:20
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.64%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.04%E -5.47%K -17.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 13:40
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.64%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.04%E -5.47%K -17.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 13:40
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.64%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.04%E -5.47%K -17.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 09:40
BetOnline.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.77%E -1.47%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.41%E -1.55%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-01 10:50
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.52%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.66%E -2.38%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 10:50
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.52%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.66%E -2.38%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 11:20
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.52%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.66%E -2.38%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 13:30
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.52%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.29%E -2.80%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 10:50
MyBookie.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.52%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.17%E -4.11%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 13:40
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.52%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.17%E -4.11%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 13:40
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.52%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.29%E -6.41%K -20.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 13:40
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.52%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.29%E -6.41%K -20.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -4.52%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -10.55%E -7.37%K -24.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-01 13:40
Betsson2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -4.89%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -6.79%E -4.56%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 13:40
NordicBet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -4.89%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -6.79%E -4.56%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 13:39
FanDuel2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -5.64%E -2.24%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -3.66%E -2.38%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 13:40
SportsBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.64%E -2.24%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.29%E -2.80%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 13:40
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.66%E -2.38%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 13:30
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.04%E -1.96%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 07:39
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.80%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.80%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 11:30
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.80%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 07:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.80%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:40
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.80%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 10:50
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.80%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 07:40
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.92%E -3.23%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 13:40
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.54%E -3.67%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 13:36
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.17%E -4.11%K -12.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 13:40
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.17%E -4.11%K -12.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 13:40
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.17%E -4.11%K -12.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 13:40
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.17%E -4.11%K -12.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 13:40
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.17%E -4.11%K -12.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 10:50
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.39%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.29%E -6.41%K -20.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-01 13:39
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -7.51%E -3.04%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -3.66%E -2.38%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:39
Dabble (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.26%E -3.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.04%E -1.96%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 10:50
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.26%E -3.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.29%E -2.80%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 13:10
TAB2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.26%E -3.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.29%E -2.80%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 10:49
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.26%E -3.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.29%E -2.80%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 07:39
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.26%E -3.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.17%E -4.11%K -12.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 13:40
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.29%E -2.80%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 13:40
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.17%E -4.11%K -12.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.17%E -4.11%K -12.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 13:40
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.42%E -5.01%K -15.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 13:40
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.88%E -4.57%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.79%E -1.14%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 07:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-07-01 13:40
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-07-01 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%0.7%2026-07-01 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%0.7%2026-07-01 13:40
ProphetX2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-07-01 13:30
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.4%2026-07-01 13:40
Novig2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.6%2026-07-01 13:40