L’École des cotes

Dayana Yastremska v Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-01 12:26 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dayana Yastremska (Local)

Prévision 46.00%2.17cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -0.726%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.42%46.05%46.07%47.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.972.052.052.1450.76%48.87%48.78%46.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.00%1.85cote équitable
EV -1.18%
Avantage -0.647%
Kelly -1.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%53.95%53.93%55.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.751.751.8359.52%57.06%57.14%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.55%E -0.726%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 12:10
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.01%E -0.946%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.72%E -0.948%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-01 12:10
Unibet (UK)2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -2.01%E -0.946%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 12:19
ReBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.47%E -1.17%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 12:10
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 12:10
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 12:20
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 12:20
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 12:10
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.58%E -3.81%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 12:10
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.12%E -4.14%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 12:10
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.85%E -1.84%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.18%E -0.647%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-01 12:10
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -3.85%E -1.84%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -7.12%E -4.14%K -9.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 12:20
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 12:20
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.77%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.34%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 12:20
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.77%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.50%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 12:10
MyBookie.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -4.77%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -6.58%E -3.81%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 12:10
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -4.77%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -7.12%E -4.14%K -9.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 12:10
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -4.77%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -7.12%E -4.14%K -9.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 12:10
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 12:20
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 12:10
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 12:10
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 12:10
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 12:20
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 12:20
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 12:10
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 12:10
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.50%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:20
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.50%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:20
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.50%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:20
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.50%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:20
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.50%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:20
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.50%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:20
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.50%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:20
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 12:10
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.58%E -3.81%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.58%E -3.81%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 12:20
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 12:20
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 12:20
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 12:20
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.58%E -3.81%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 12:20
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.58%E -3.81%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 12:20
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.58%E -3.81%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 12:20
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.58%E -3.81%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 12:20
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:09
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:10
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:10
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:10
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:10
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:18
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 12:20
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 12:10
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 12:07
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.50%E -3.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 12:10
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.58%E -3.81%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:03
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.58%E -3.81%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:10
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.58%E -3.81%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:10
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.58%E -3.81%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:20
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.58%E -3.81%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 12:20
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -9.28%E -5.53%K -13.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-01 12:19
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -9.37%E -4.76%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -9.37%E -4.76%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%EV -8.20%E -4.83%K -11.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-01 12:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-07-01 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-07-01 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-07-01 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-07-01 12:20
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-07-01 12:20
ProphetX2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%1.4%2026-07-01 12:20
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%3.6%2026-07-01 12:09