Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Belinda Bencic v Mika Stojsavljevic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-29 10:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Belinda Bencic (Local)

Prévision 86.78%1.15cote équitable
EV -1.94%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -14.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
84.51%86.81%86.63%88.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.061.091.091.1394.34%91.41%91.74%88.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Mika Stojsavljevic (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.22%7.56cote équitable
EV +12.40%
Avantage +1.46%
Kelly +1.65%
Croissance +0.205%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.09%13.19%13.37%15.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.006.937.008.5016.67%14.43%14.29%11.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Belinda Bencic (Local) : 86.78% ; Mika Stojsavljevic (Visiteur) : 13.22%. Pour Mika Stojsavljevic (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.56. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.50, soit une espérance positive de +12.40%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -8.02%E -7.56%K -133.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +12.40%E +1.46%K +1.65%G +0.205%6.1%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.41%E -4.97%K -60.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +5.79%E +0.723%K +0.827%G +0.048%4.2%2026-06-29 10:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.41%E -4.97%K -60.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +5.79%E +0.723%K +0.827%G +0.048%4.2%2026-06-29 10:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.83%EV -5.41%E -4.97%K -60.15%G +0.000%7.87I 12.71%NM 12.17%EV +4.07%E +0.517%K +0.592%G +0.024%4.4%2026-06-29 10:05
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -6.28%E -5.82%K -78.51%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV +1.82%E +0.236%K +0.271%G +0.005%5.6%2026-06-29 10:08
Pinnacle🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.34%EV -5.41%E -4.97%K -60.15%G +0.000%7.52I 13.30%NM 12.66%EV -0.561%E -0.075%K -0.086%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:10
Coolbet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.41%E -4.97%K -60.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.826%E -0.110%K -0.127%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 10:09
BetAnything🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -5.41%E -4.97%K -60.15%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -1.49%E -0.200%K -0.231%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:04
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -3.68%E -3.31%K -33.43%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV -2.15%E -0.290%K -0.336%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 10:09
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.07%EV -6.28%E -5.82%K -78.51%G +0.000%7.27I 13.76%NM 12.93%EV -3.87%E -0.532%K -0.617%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:10
Betsson🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.07%EV -6.28%E -5.82%K -78.51%G +0.000%7.27I 13.76%NM 12.93%EV -3.87%E -0.532%K -0.617%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:09
Bovada🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.55%E -4.13%K -45.46%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -4.13%E -0.570%K -0.661%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 09:58
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.55%E -4.13%K -45.46%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -4.13%E -0.570%K -0.661%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 10:08
NetBet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -7.15%E -6.68%K -102.13%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -4.13%E -0.570%K -0.661%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -5.41%E -4.97%K -60.15%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -4.79%E -0.666%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 10:09
theScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -5.41%E -4.97%K -60.15%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -4.79%E -0.666%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 10:09
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -3.68%E -3.31%K -33.43%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV -6.12%E -0.861%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:10
GTbets🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.22%EV -1.94%E -1.72%K -14.94%G +0.000%7.07I 14.14%NM 13.78%EV -6.51%E -0.921%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-29 09:59
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -4.55%E -4.13%K -45.46%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -7.04%E -1.00%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.55%E -4.13%K -45.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.44%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.55%E -4.13%K -45.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.44%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.55%E -4.13%K -45.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.44%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:10
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.55%E -4.13%K -45.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.44%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.55%E -4.13%K -45.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.44%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:05
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.55%E -4.13%K -45.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.44%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:05
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.55%E -4.13%K -45.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.44%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.97%K -60.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.44%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:06
Coral🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.97%K -60.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.44%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.97%K -60.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.44%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.97%K -60.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.44%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.41%E -4.97%K -60.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.44%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 10:05
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.28%E -5.82%K -78.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.44%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:09
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.28%E -5.82%K -78.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.44%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:09
TAB🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.28%E -5.82%K -78.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.44%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:09
betfred_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.28%E -5.82%K -78.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.44%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.28%E -5.82%K -78.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.44%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.28%E -5.82%K -78.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.44%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 10:09
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.55%E -4.13%K -45.46%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.74%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 10:02
BetMGM🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.41%E -4.97%K -60.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.74%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 10:08
Fliff🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -7.15%E -6.68%K -102.13%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -11.40%E -1.70%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.68%E -3.31%K -33.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.05%E -2.16%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:10
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.68%E -3.31%K -33.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.05%E -2.16%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.68%E -3.31%K -33.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.05%E -2.16%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Casumo🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.68%E -3.31%K -33.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.05%E -2.16%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.68%E -3.31%K -33.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.05%E -2.16%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.68%E -3.31%K -33.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.05%E -2.16%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.68%E -3.31%K -33.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.05%E -2.16%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.68%E -3.31%K -33.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.05%E -2.16%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.68%E -3.31%K -33.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.05%E -2.16%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:09
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.68%E -3.31%K -33.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.05%E -2.16%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Everygame🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.55%E -4.13%K -45.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.05%E -2.16%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.28%E -5.82%K -78.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.05%E -2.16%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 10:08
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.55%E -4.13%K -45.46%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -15.37%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:10
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.55%E -4.13%K -45.46%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -15.37%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -5.41%E -4.97%K -60.15%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -15.37%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 10:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -5.41%E -4.97%K -60.15%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -15.37%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 10:10
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -5.41%E -4.97%K -60.15%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -15.37%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 10:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.41%E -4.97%K -60.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -17.35%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 10:09
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -6.28%E -5.82%K -78.51%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -17.35%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -6.28%E -5.82%K -78.51%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -19.34%E -3.17%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 10:09
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.55%E -4.13%K -45.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.66%E -3.44%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 10:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%0.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%0.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 89.72%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28%1.3%2026-06-29 10:10
Matchbook1.10I 90.91%NM 89.72%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28%1.3%2026-06-29 10:10
ProphetX1.10I 90.91%NM 89.22%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.78%1.9%2026-06-29 10:10
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 88.78%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.22%2.4%2026-06-29 10:10
Smarkets1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%5.0%2026-06-29 10:10