La escuela de los momios

Barbora Krejcikova v Mirra Andreeva

Inicio: 2026-07-01 15:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barbora Krejcikova (Local)

Predicción 34.86%2.87momio equitativo
EV +18.53%
Ventaja +5.45%
Kelly +7.72%
Crecimiento +1.43%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.97%34.36%35.49%38.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.752.703.4041.67%36.34%37.04%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Mirra Andreeva (Visitante)

Predicción 65.14%1.54momio equitativo
EV +0.963%
Ventaja +0.621%
Kelly +1.75%
Crecimiento +0.017%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.73%65.64%64.51%72.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.431.421.5576.92%69.81%70.42%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +18.53%E +5.45%K +7.72%G +1.43%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -14.02%E -10.62%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 15:40
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +15.05%E +4.56%K +6.54%G +0.984%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -14.02%E -10.62%K -43.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 15:40
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV +13.30%E +4.09%K +5.91%G +0.787%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -15.32%E -11.79%K -51.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 15:40
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV +13.30%E +4.09%K +5.91%G +0.787%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -15.32%E -11.79%K -51.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 15:40
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +8.07%E +2.60%K +3.85%G +0.310%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -13.37%E -10.05%K -40.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-01 15:40
DraftKings2.99I 33.44%NM 31.74%EV +4.24%E +1.42%K +2.13%G +0.090%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.26%EV -9.46%E -6.81%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 15:40
Betsson2.97I 33.67%NM 31.09%EV +3.54%E +1.19%K +1.80%G +0.064%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.91%EV -12.72%E -9.49%K -37.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 15:40
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +2.85%E +0.965%K +1.46%G +0.042%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -10.11%E -7.33%K -26.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 15:40
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +1.10%E +0.380%K +0.580%G +0.006%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 15:40
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +1.10%E +0.380%K +0.580%G +0.006%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 15:40
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +1.10%E +0.380%K +0.580%G +0.006%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 15:40
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +1.10%E +0.380%K +0.580%G +0.006%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 15:40
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +1.10%E +0.380%K +0.580%G +0.006%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 15:40
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +1.10%E +0.380%K +0.580%G +0.006%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -10.11%E -7.33%K -26.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +0.405%E +0.141%K +0.215%G +0.001%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 15:40
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV +0.405%E +0.141%K +0.215%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -11.41%E -8.39%K -31.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 15:40
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -0.641%E -0.225%K -0.346%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -10.11%E -7.33%K -26.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 15:40
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -0.641%E -0.225%K -0.346%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -10.11%E -7.33%K -26.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 15:40
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -0.641%E -0.225%K -0.346%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -10.11%E -7.33%K -26.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 15:40
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -0.641%E -0.225%K -0.346%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -10.76%E -7.86%K -29.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-01 15:40
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 15:40
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -11.41%E -8.39%K -31.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 15:40
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.13%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 15:40
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.13%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 15:40
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.13%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 15:40
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.13%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 15:40
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.13%E -1.50%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 15:40
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -4.48%E -1.63%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -0.991%E -0.652%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 15:40
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 15:40
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 15:39
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 15:40
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -10.11%E -7.33%K -26.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-01 15:40
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -6.57%E -2.45%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -0.340%E -0.222%K -0.642%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-01 15:20
GTbets2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -6.57%E -2.45%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -2.29%E -1.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 15:20
SportsBet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -6.92%E -2.59%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 15:38
NordicBet2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -6.92%E -2.59%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-01 15:40
ReBet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -1.64%E -1.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 15:20
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.29%E -1.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 15:20
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:20
TAB2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.90%E -3.36%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 15:40
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -8.66%E -3.31%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.29%E -1.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 15:20
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.36%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.29%E -1.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:20
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.36%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.29%E -1.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:20
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.36%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.29%E -1.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:20
Dabble (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.36%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.29%E -1.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 15:20
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.36%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 15:37
NetBet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.36%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-01 15:25
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.36%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.20%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-01 15:40
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -9.36%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -8.16%E -5.78%K -19.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-01 15:40
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -11.10%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +0.311%E +0.202%K +0.576%G +0.002%4.2%2026-07-01 15:38
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -11.10%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -0.340%E -0.222%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 15:20
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.10%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.29%E -1.53%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 15:20
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -11.10%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -2.95%E -1.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 15:33
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -11.10%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 15:40
MyBookie.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV +0.963%E +0.621%K +1.75%G +0.017%4.5%2026-07-01 15:40
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -0.991%E -0.652%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -0.991%E -0.652%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 15:20
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-01 15:25
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.57%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.43%EV -10.11%E -7.33%K -26.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-01 15:40
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -16.33%E -6.80%K -11.66%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -3.60%E -2.43%K -7.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 15:38
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%0.2%2026-07-01 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-07-01 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-07-01 15:40
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-07-01 15:40
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%1.4%2026-07-01 15:40
Novig2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%4.9%2026-07-01 15:39
ProphetX2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%5.6%2026-07-01 15:40