La escuela de los momios

Ashlyn Krueger v Donna Vekic

Inicio: 2026-06-30 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ashlyn Krueger (Local)

Predicción 50.26%1.99momio equitativo
EV +20.63%
Ventaja +8.59%
Kelly +14.73%
Crecimiento +3.04%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.93%49.08%51.07%56.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.991.872.4060.24%50.21%53.48%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Donna Vekic (Visitante)

Predicción 49.74%2.01momio equitativo
EV +9.43%
Ventaja +4.28%
Kelly +7.86%
Crecimiento +0.741%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.15%50.92%48.93%61.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.821.872.2066.23%54.81%53.48%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +20.63%E +8.59%K +14.73%G +3.04%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -23.90%E -15.62%K -45.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 17:09
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV +19.62%E +8.24%K +14.22%G +2.79%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -22.41%E -14.36%K -40.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 16:59
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%EV +18.61%E +7.89%K +13.69%G +2.55%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -18.92%E -11.61%K -30.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 17:10
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +18.11%E +7.71%K +13.42%G +2.43%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -17.93%E -10.87%K -27.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 17:07
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +18.11%E +7.71%K +13.42%G +2.43%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -19.92%E -12.37%K -32.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 17:09
Marathon Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV +18.11%E +7.71%K +13.42%G +2.43%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -20.91%E -13.15%K -35.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 17:06
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV +18.11%E +7.71%K +13.42%G +2.43%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -24.89%E -16.49%K -48.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 17:07
ReBet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV +17.11%E +7.34%K +12.86%G +2.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -18.43%E -11.24%K -28.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:00
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV +16.10%E +6.97%K +12.29%G +1.98%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -19.42%E -11.99%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:01
MyBookie.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +15.60%E +6.78%K +12.00%G +1.87%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -17.93%E -10.87%K -27.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 17:09
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV +15.60%E +6.78%K +12.00%G +1.87%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -18.92%E -11.61%K -30.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 17:07
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +15.60%E +6.78%K +12.00%G +1.87%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -19.42%E -11.99%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:09
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +15.60%E +6.78%K +12.00%G +1.87%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -19.42%E -11.99%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +15.60%E +6.78%K +12.00%G +1.87%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -19.42%E -11.99%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:04
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +15.60%E +6.78%K +12.00%G +1.87%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -19.42%E -11.99%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:04
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +15.60%E +6.78%K +12.00%G +1.87%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -19.42%E -11.99%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:07
BetAnything2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +15.60%E +6.78%K +12.00%G +1.87%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -19.42%E -11.99%K -31.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:09
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +15.60%E +6.78%K +12.00%G +1.87%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -20.42%E -12.76%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 17:06
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +15.60%E +6.78%K +12.00%G +1.87%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -20.42%E -12.76%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +15.60%E +6.78%K +12.00%G +1.87%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -20.42%E -12.76%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 17:03
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +13.09%E +5.82%K +10.47%G +1.37%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -19.42%E -11.99%K -31.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 17:03
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +10.57%E +4.81%K +8.81%G +0.932%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -15.44%E -9.08%K -22.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 17:08
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +10.57%E +4.81%K +8.81%G +0.932%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -16.44%E -9.78%K -24.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV +3.03%E +1.48%K +2.89%G +0.088%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -14.95%E -8.74%K -21.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +0.521%E +0.261%K +0.521%G +0.003%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -13.95%E -8.06%K -19.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 17:09
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.99%E -1.02%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.99%E -3.74%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 17:10
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.00%E -2.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.47%E -5.82%K -13.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 17:09
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.51%E -2.37%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.98%E -4.31%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 17:09
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.01%E -3.22%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.01%E -3.22%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.01%E -3.22%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.01%E -3.22%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.01%E -3.22%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.01%E -3.22%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.01%E -3.22%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.01%E -3.22%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.49%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 17:09
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.02%E -3.79%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.49%E -3.45%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 17:09
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.02%E -3.79%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.98%E -4.31%K -9.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 17:09
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.02%E -3.79%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.98%E -4.31%K -9.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 17:09
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40%EV -7.52%E -4.09%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%EV -6.99%E -3.74%K -8.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 17:09
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40%EV -7.52%E -4.09%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%EV -6.99%E -3.74%K -8.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.02%E -4.38%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.521%E -0.261%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 17:10
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.02%E -4.38%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 17:09
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.02%E -4.38%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.99%E -3.74%K -8.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 17:09
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -8.53%E -4.68%K -10.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -5.49%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 17:09
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.53%E -5.30%K -11.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.01%E -1.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 17:09
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.53%E -5.30%K -11.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 17:09
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.53%E -5.30%K -11.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.49%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 17:09
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.53%E -5.30%K -11.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.49%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 17:09
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -11.04%E -6.24%K -14.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -6.99%E -3.74%K -8.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -12.04%E -6.88%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +4.45%E +2.12%K +4.05%G +0.180%4.8%2026-06-30 17:10
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -12.04%E -6.88%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV +2.46%E +1.20%K +2.32%G +0.057%5.7%2026-06-30 17:09
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -12.55%E -7.21%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +4.45%E +2.12%K +4.05%G +0.180%5.1%2026-06-30 17:09
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -12.55%E -7.21%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +1.97%E +0.959%K +1.87%G +0.037%6.3%2026-06-30 17:10
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -13.05%E -7.54%K -17.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV +6.94%E +3.23%K +6.03%G +0.419%4.3%2026-06-30 17:10
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -13.05%E -7.54%K -17.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV +3.46%E +1.66%K +3.20%G +0.111%5.9%2026-06-30 17:09
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -13.05%E -7.54%K -17.88%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV +1.47%E +0.720%K +1.41%G +0.021%6.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -13.05%E -7.54%K -17.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -0.521%E -0.261%K -0.521%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -13.55%E -7.88%K -18.82%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV +0.474%E +0.235%K +0.464%G +0.002%7.6%2026-06-30 17:10
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -14.56%E -8.56%K -20.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV +3.46%E +1.66%K +3.20%G +0.111%6.9%2026-06-30 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -14.56%E -8.56%K -20.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -0.521%E -0.261%K -0.521%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 17:09
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -14.56%E -8.56%K -20.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -0.521%E -0.261%K -0.521%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -16.06%E -9.62%K -23.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +9.43%E +4.28%K +7.86%G +0.741%5.3%2026-06-30 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -16.57%E -9.98%K -25.10%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -2.51%E -1.28%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 17:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-06-30 17:10
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-06-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-06-30 17:10
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-06-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-06-30 17:10
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-06-30 17:10
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%5.5%2026-06-30 17:09