Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Antonia Ruzic v Emma Raducanu

Inicio: 2026-06-29 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Antonia Ruzic (Local)

Predicción 40.00%2.50momio equitativo
EV -1.60%
Ventaja -0.651%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.35%40.04%39.97%41.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.382.382.4644.44%42.04%42.02%40.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Emma Raducanu (Visitante)

Predicción 60.00%1.67momio equitativo
EV -2.20%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -3.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%59.96%60.03%61.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.571.571.6365.36%63.64%63.69%61.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Antonia Ruzic (Local): 40.00%; Emma Raducanu (Visitante): 60.00%. Para Antonia Ruzic (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.50. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.46, con un valor esperado de -1.60%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -1.60%E -0.651%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 21:19
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -2.00%E -0.817%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -2.20%E -1.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-28 21:29
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.00%E -0.817%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.40%E -2.11%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-28 12:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.00%E -0.817%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 21:00
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.00%E -0.817%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 21:29
LeoVegas🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.80%E -1.15%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 20:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.80%E -1.15%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 21:00
DraftKings🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.80%E -1.15%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-27 19:50
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.80%E -1.15%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 20:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.80%E -1.15%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 21:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.80%E -1.15%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 20:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.80%E -1.15%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 20:59
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.80%E -1.15%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 21:00
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.80%E -1.15%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 20:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.80%E -1.15%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 20:59
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.80%E -1.15%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 21:00
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.80%E -1.15%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 20:58
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.80%E -1.15%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 21:00
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.80%E -1.15%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 20:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.80%E -1.73%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-28 19:49
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.00%E -2.50%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.00%E -2.50%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 19:59
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.60%E -2.89%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 18:19
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.20%E -3.29%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 21:00
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 21:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 21:29
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 21:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.60%E -4.93%K -14.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-28 21:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.60%E -4.93%K -14.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-28 20:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.00%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 20:59
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.80%E -1.73%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-28 04:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.20%E -3.29%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 21:29
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-27 20:40
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 06:49
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-27 22:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-27 20:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-27 20:39
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 08:00
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.80%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 12:20
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.00%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.40%E -2.11%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 21:29
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.00%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.40%E -2.11%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 21:25
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.00%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.40%E -2.11%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.00%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.00%E -2.50%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 20:19
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.00%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.00%E -2.50%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 20:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.00%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.20%E -3.29%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 19:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.00%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 05:50
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.00%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 20:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.00%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 21:09
MyBookie.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.00%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 18:18
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.00%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-28 05:50
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.00%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-28 17:18
FanDuel🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -6.40%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -2.80%E -1.73%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 12:26
SportsBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -6.40%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.40%E -2.11%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 12:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -6.40%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.20%E -3.29%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 15:29
NordicBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -6.40%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 18:19
Betsson🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -6.40%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -5.80%E -3.69%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 18:19
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.00%E -3.48%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.80%E -1.73%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 12:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.00%E -3.48%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-28 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.00%E -3.48%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 20:20
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.00%E -3.48%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 20:19
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.00%E -3.48%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 21:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.00%E -4.44%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.80%E -1.73%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.00%E -4.44%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.80%E -1.73%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 12:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.00%E -4.44%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-28 21:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-06-28 21:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-06-28 21:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-06-28 21:30
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-06-28 21:30
ProphetX2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-06-28 21:30
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 55.59%1.69I 59.17%NM 44.41%33.2%2026-06-28 21:30