L’École des cotes

Amanda Anisimova v Lina Gjorcheska

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 10:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Amanda Anisimova (Local)

Prévision 91.70%1.09cote équitable
EV -2.79%
Avantage -2.64%
Kelly -46.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
89.55%91.79%91.61%94.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.011.031.031.0699.01%97.10%97.09%94.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lina Gjorcheska (Visiteur)

Prévision 8.30%12.05cote équitable
EV +41.04%
Avantage +2.41%
Kelly +2.57%
Croissance +1.05%

avec la cote maximale 17.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.66%8.21%8.39%10.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.0012.7912.2517.0011.11%7.82%8.16%5.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -5.55%E -5.38%K -184.85%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +41.04%E +2.41%K +2.57%G +1.05%3.0%2026-06-30 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -5.55%E -5.38%K -184.85%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +41.04%E +2.41%K +2.57%G +1.05%3.0%2026-06-30 10:10
ATG (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -6.46%E -6.34%K -323.12%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +41.04%E +2.41%K +2.57%G +1.05%3.9%2026-06-30 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -6.46%E -6.34%K -323.12%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +32.74%E +2.05%K +2.18%G +0.715%4.3%2026-06-30 10:10
Unibet (NL)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -6.46%E -6.34%K -323.12%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +32.74%E +2.05%K +2.18%G +0.715%4.3%2026-06-30 10:09
Casumo1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -6.46%E -6.34%K -323.12%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +32.74%E +2.05%K +2.18%G +0.715%4.3%2026-06-30 10:10
Unibet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -6.46%E -6.34%K -323.12%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +32.74%E +2.05%K +2.18%G +0.715%4.3%2026-06-30 10:09
Hard Rock Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -6.46%E -6.34%K -323.12%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +32.74%E +2.05%K +2.18%G +0.715%4.3%2026-06-30 10:09
betPARX1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -6.46%E -6.34%K -323.12%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +32.74%E +2.05%K +2.18%G +0.715%4.3%2026-06-30 10:09
TABtouch1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -7.38%E -7.31%K -737.95%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +32.74%E +2.05%K +2.18%G +0.715%5.3%2026-06-30 10:09
Svenska Spel1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.46%E -6.34%K -323.12%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +24.45%E +1.63%K +1.75%G +0.427%4.7%2026-06-30 10:09
888sport1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.38%E -7.31%K -737.95%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +24.45%E +1.63%K +1.75%G +0.427%5.7%2026-06-30 10:10
LiveScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.38%E -7.31%K -737.95%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +24.45%E +1.63%K +1.75%G +0.427%5.7%2026-06-30 10:09
Grosvenor1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.38%E -7.31%K -737.95%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +24.45%E +1.63%K +1.75%G +0.427%5.7%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.38%E -7.31%K -737.95%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +24.45%E +1.63%K +1.75%G +0.427%5.7%2026-06-30 10:10
Mr Green (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.38%E -7.31%K -737.95%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +24.45%E +1.63%K +1.75%G +0.427%5.7%2026-06-30 10:09
888sport (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.38%E -7.31%K -737.95%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +24.45%E +1.63%K +1.75%G +0.427%5.7%2026-06-30 10:09
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 93.02%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.23%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.98%EV +16.15%E +1.15%K +1.24%G +0.201%2.4%2026-06-30 10:10
BetRivers1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.55%E -5.38%K -184.85%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +16.15%E +1.15%K +1.24%G +0.201%4.2%2026-06-30 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.55%E -5.38%K -184.85%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +16.15%E +1.15%K +1.24%G +0.201%4.2%2026-06-30 09:59
LeoVegas1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.55%E -5.38%K -184.85%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +16.15%E +1.15%K +1.24%G +0.201%4.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Bally Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.55%E -5.38%K -184.85%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +16.15%E +1.15%K +1.24%G +0.201%4.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Virgin Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -7.38%E -7.31%K -737.95%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +16.15%E +1.15%K +1.24%G +0.201%6.2%2026-06-30 10:00
BetAnything1.03I 97.09%NM 92.84%EV -5.55%E -5.38%K -184.85%G +0.000%13.35I 7.49%NM 7.16%EV +10.76%E +0.806%K +0.871%G +0.094%4.6%2026-06-30 10:04
PlayUp1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.63%E -4.45%K -115.71%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.86%E +0.604%K +0.655%G +0.051%3.8%2026-06-30 10:08
Dabble (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.63%E -4.45%K -115.71%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.86%E +0.604%K +0.655%G +0.051%3.8%2026-06-30 10:07
ReBet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.63%E -4.45%K -115.71%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +7.86%E +0.604%K +0.655%G +0.051%3.8%2026-06-30 09:58
Bovada1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.55%E -5.38%K -184.85%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +7.86%E +0.604%K +0.655%G +0.051%4.8%2026-06-30 10:08
Tipico (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.38%E -7.31%K -737.95%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +7.86%E +0.604%K +0.655%G +0.051%6.7%2026-06-30 10:09
1xBet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -5.55%E -5.38%K -184.85%G +0.000%12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +7.03%E +0.545%K +0.590%G +0.041%4.8%2026-06-30 10:00
Winamax (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.55%E -5.38%K -184.85%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +3.71%E +0.297%K +0.322%G +0.012%5.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Coral1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.63%E -4.45%K -115.71%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -0.441%E -0.037%K -0.040%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 10:09
Unibet (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.55%E -5.38%K -184.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -0.441%E -0.037%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:10
Betway1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.55%E -5.38%K -184.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -0.441%E -0.037%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Winamax (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.46%E -6.34%K -323.12%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -0.441%E -0.037%K -0.040%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 10:09
GTbets1.06I 94.34%NM 91.78%EV -2.79%E -2.64%K -46.57%G +0.000%11.84I 8.45%NM 8.22%EV -1.77%E -0.149%K -0.163%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-30 10:00
Pinnacle1.05I 95.24%NM 91.73%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.23%G +0.000%11.64I 8.59%NM 8.27%EV -3.43%E -0.295%K -0.322%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 09:59
NetBet (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.46%E -6.34%K -323.12%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -4.59%E -0.399%K -0.437%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 10:00
Betr (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.55%E -5.38%K -184.85%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -6.66%E -0.592%K -0.650%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:04
Marathon Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.55%E -5.38%K -184.85%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -6.66%E -0.592%K -0.650%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:07
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.63%E -4.45%K -115.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.74%E -0.794%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
William Hill1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.63%E -4.45%K -115.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.74%E -0.794%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Neds1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.63%E -4.45%K -115.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.74%E -0.794%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.63%E -4.45%K -115.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.74%E -0.794%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.63%E -4.45%K -115.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.74%E -0.794%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:59
theScore Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.63%E -4.45%K -115.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.74%E -0.794%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:09
betfred_uk1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.55%E -5.38%K -184.85%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.74%E -0.794%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
PointsBet (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.55%E -5.38%K -184.85%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.74%E -0.794%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Caesars1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.55%E -5.38%K -184.85%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.74%E -0.794%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Betsson1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.55%E -5.38%K -184.85%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.74%E -0.794%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 10:09
BetMGM1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.46%E -6.34%K -323.12%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -8.74%E -0.794%K -0.874%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 10:09
TAB1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.46%E -6.34%K -323.12%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -8.74%E -0.794%K -0.874%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 10:09
BetOnline.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 91.18%EV -4.63%E -4.45%K -115.71%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.82%EV -10.81%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:09
FanDuel1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.23%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -12.89%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:10
NordicBet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.63%E -4.45%K -115.71%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -12.89%E -1.23%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 10:09
Fanatics1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.23%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV -14.96%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:08
MyBookie.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.23%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.03%E -1.70%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:08
Everygame1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.63%E -4.45%K -115.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.03%E -1.70%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:49
Sky Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.55%E -5.38%K -184.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -17.03%E -1.70%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Paddy Power1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.55%E -5.38%K -184.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -17.03%E -1.70%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Betclic (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.71%E -3.53%K -74.23%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -25.33%E -2.81%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:08
Bet Victor1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -4.63%E -4.45%K -115.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -25.33%E -2.81%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 10:08
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.04I 96.15%NM 95.67%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.33%0.5%2026-06-30 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-06-30 10:09
Smarkets1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%1.9%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54%1.9%2026-06-30 10:09
ProphetX1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%3.8%2026-06-30 10:10
Novig1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%4.2%2026-06-30 10:09